Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samtredia vs Shturmi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium, Samtredia
Samtredia Logo

Samtredia

1 - 1
FT
Shturmi Logo

Shturmi

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Cordero Gonzalez J.
Assist: Chikovani T.
46'
Sub
Makatsaria T. In: Gagnidze O.
Out: Makatsaria T.
46'
Sub
Kemoklidze L. In: Vekua G.
Out: Kemoklidze L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Samtredia
15%
Draws
39%
Shturmi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samtredia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Samtredia have won more games recently than Shturmi.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Samtredia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 68%
Shturmi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samtredia Shturmi
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 11
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.79 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs Samtredia
0:1
Jul 26, 2026 Georgian Cup
Samtredia vs Shturmi
2:1
May 16, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Shturmi
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs Samtredia
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samtredia Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordero Gonzalez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Shturmi Compare

Top Goalscorer Latsabidze G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samtredia 95 / 100
Shturmi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samtredia Shturmi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samtredia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samtredia's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Samtredia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Shturmi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Samtredia VS Shturmi
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Samtredia

(Home)
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 0
Samtredia
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
02 Sept
Samtredia
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
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Shturmi

(Away)
20 Sept
Shturmi
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
16 Sept
Telavi
1 : 1
Shturmi
12 Sept
Shturmi
2 : 0
Odishi 1919
06 Sept
Dusheti
3 : 4
Shturmi
29 Aug
Gori
3 : 1
Shturmi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 27 14 8 5 35:28 50
2 Telavi 27 11 10 6 29:25 43
3 Shturmi 27 11 10 6 29:23 43
4 Merani Martvili 27 10 7 10 30:34 37
5 Samtredia 27 11 4 12 48:40 37
6 Dusheti 27 10 5 12 30:37 35
7 Bolnisi 27 8 9 10 35:34 33
8 Odishi 1919 27 8 8 11 29:37 32
9 Kolkheti 1913 27 6 10 11 34:33 28
10 Gori 27 6 9 12 27:35 27
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)