Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samtredia vs Spartak Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2006/2007 Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium, Samtredia
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Samtredia in this Pirveli Liga 2006/2007 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samtredia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Samtredia
15%
Draws
21%
Spartak Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samtredia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Spartak Tbilisi haven't matched Samtredia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Samtredia a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 17%
Spartak Tbilisi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samtredia Spartak Tbilisi
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.74 0.43
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2007 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Spartak Tbilisi
1:0
Sep 10, 2006 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Spartak Tbilisi vs Samtredia
1:0
Apr 7, 2003 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Spartak Tbilisi vs Samtredia
7:2
Sep 30, 2002 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Spartak Tbilisi
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samtredia 84 / 100
Spartak Tbilisi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samtredia Spartak Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samtredia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samtredia scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Spartak Tbilisi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Samtredia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Samtredia VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Samtredia

(Home)
26 Sept
Samtredia
1 : 2
FC Rustavi
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 0
Samtredia
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
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Spartak Tbilisi

(Away)
03 Aug
Chikhura Sachkhere
4 : 0
Spartak Tbilisi
31 Jul
Spartak Tbilisi
1 : 0
Chikhura Sachkhere
23 May
Spartak Tbilisi
1 : 3
WIT Georgia 2
18 May
Mglebi Zugdidi
2 : 0
Spartak Tbilisi
14 May
Gagra
3 : 1
Spartak Tbilisi
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