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Samtse vs Tensung

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League 2025
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Match Events

75' Event
Wangdi T.
81' Event
Wangchuk P.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025 game between Samtse and Tensung finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tensung.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Samtse
15%
Draws
42%
Tensung
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samtse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Tensung haven't matched Samtse's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Tensung taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Samtse Clean Sheet 16%
Tensung Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samtse Tensung
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 4
Draws 2 4
Losses 21 21
Goals Scored 1.63 0.97
Goals Conceded 4.2 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2025 Premier League
Samtse vs Tensung
0:2
Jul 20, 2025 Premier League
Tensung vs Samtse
3:3
Sep 25, 2024 Premier League
Samtse vs Tensung
4:1
Jun 11, 2024 Premier League
Tensung vs Samtse
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samtse Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Tensung Compare

Top Goalscorer Wangdi T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wangchuk P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samtse 10 / 100
Tensung 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samtse Tensung

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tensung Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tensung let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Samtse scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Tensung has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Samtse VS Tensung
0 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Samtse

(Home)
03 Oct
Samtse
0 : 2
Tensung
25 Sept
RTC
12 : 1
Samtse
23 Sept
Samtse
1 : 10
Thimphu City
17 Sept
Samtse
1 : 9
Transport United
13 Sept
Samtse
9 : 0
Southern City
Page 1 of 6

Tensung

(Away)
20 Sept
Tensung
1 : 3
Drukpa
15 Sept
Tensung
1 : 3
BFF Academy U19
22 Aug
Tensung
1 : 3
Tsirang
16 Aug
Ugyen Academy
2 : 3
Tensung
02 Aug
Transport United
4 : 1
Tensung
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 18 16 1 1 74:17 49
2 Thimphu City 18 14 1 3 64:23 43
3 RTC 18 12 2 4 62:19 38
4 Transport United 18 11 1 6 46:27 34
5 BFF Academy U19 18 8 3 7 40:36 27
6 Ugyen Academy 18 8 1 9 38:41 25
7 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 21:42 16
8 Tensung 18 3 2 13 17:48 11
9 Southern City 18 3 1 14 15:59 10
10 Samtse 18 2 2 14 22:87 8
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