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Samtse vs Thimphu City

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League 2025
Samtse Logo

Samtse

1 - 10
FT
Thimphu City Logo

Thimphu City

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Thimphu City in this Premier League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-10 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thimphu City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Samtse
20%
Draws
63%
Thimphu City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thimphu City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Samtse haven't matched Thimphu City's recent run of results.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on Thimphu City taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Thimphu City have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Samtse Clean Sheet 10%
Thimphu City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samtse Thimphu City
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 7 23
Draws 2 7
Losses 23 6
Goals Scored 1.56 3.14
Goals Conceded 4.16 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2025 Premier League
Samtse vs Thimphu City
1:10
Jun 16, 2025 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Samtse
7:0
Sep 11, 2024 Premier League
Samtse vs Thimphu City
1:2
Jul 6, 2024 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Samtse
6:1
Feb 2, 2013 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Samtse
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samtse 10 / 100
Thimphu City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samtse Thimphu City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thimphu City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.40 goals as a typical output.

Samtse's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Thimphu City has conceded goals in 69% of their last 36 outings.

Samtse went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samtse VS Thimphu City
0 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Samtse

(Home)
03 Oct
Samtse
0 : 2
Tensung
25 Sept
RTC
12 : 1
Samtse
23 Sept
Samtse
1 : 10
Thimphu City
17 Sept
Samtse
1 : 9
Transport United
13 Sept
Samtse
9 : 0
Southern City
Page 1 of 7

Thimphu City

(Away)
13 Sept
Thimphu City
6 : 0
Ugyen Academy
10 Sept
RTC
1 : 2
Thimphu City
21 Aug
Drukpa
2 : 2
Thimphu City
07 Aug
Tsirang
1 : 1
Thimphu City
29 Jul
Thimphu City
7 : 1
Tensung
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 18 16 1 1 74:17 49
2 Thimphu City 18 14 1 3 64:23 43
3 RTC 18 12 2 4 62:19 38
4 Transport United 18 11 1 6 46:27 34
5 BFF Academy U19 18 8 3 7 40:36 27
6 Ugyen Academy 18 8 1 9 38:41 25
7 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 21:42 16
8 Tensung 18 3 2 13 17:48 11
9 Southern City 18 3 1 14 15:59 10
10 Samtse 18 2 2 14 22:87 8
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