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Samut Prakan City vs Mahasarakham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2024/2025
Sat, Apr 26, 2025
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Samut Prakan City host Mahasarakham in the Thai League 2 2024/2025. Mahasarakham are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Samut Prakan City at 0.93 goals for, 1.93 against; Mahasarakham at 1.37 for, 1.27 against. Head-to-head, Samut Prakan City have won 0 to Mahasarakham's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.79 vs 1.11, favoring Mahasarakham. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Samut Prakan City
35%
Draws
52%
Mahasarakham
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mahasarakham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

13% / Low Confidence
  • Mahasarakham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 13% — that's where the model lands on Samut Prakan City taking it.
  • Regular Thai League 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Samut Prakan City Clean Sheet 20%
Mahasarakham Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samut Prakan City Mahasarakham
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 1 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Thai League 2
Samut Prakan City vs Mahasarakham
0:0
Aug 10, 2024 Thai League 2
Mahasarakham vs Samut Prakan City
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samut Prakan City 49 / 100
Mahasarakham 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samut Prakan City Mahasarakham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samut Prakan City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samut Prakan City scored in 64% of their last 14 games.

Mahasarakham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Samut Prakan City went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mahasarakham
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Samut Prakan City

(Home)
04 Jan
Trat FC
3 : 0
Samut Prakan City
21 Dec
Samut Prakan City
0 : 0
Sisaket United
13 Dec
Bangkok FC
4 : 1
Samut Prakan City
07 Dec
Samut Prakan City
0 : 3
Phrae United
01 Dec
Chiangmai United
2 : 1
Samut Prakan City
Page 1 of 3

Mahasarakham

(Away)
19 Sept
Kanchanaburi
1 : 1
Mahasarakham
16 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
12 Sept
Khonkaen United
3 : 0
Mahasarakham
05 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1
Songkhla
25 Apr
Mahasarakham
2 : 2
Khonkaen United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chonburi 32 19 6 7 56:30 63
2 Ayutthaya United 32 17 9 6 57:30 60
3 Phrae United 32 17 7 8 61:38 58
4 Kanchanaburi 32 13 13 6 53:36 52
5 Mahasarakham 32 13 9 10 44:39 48
6 Lampang F.C. 32 13 9 10 48:39 48
7 Kasetsart 32 11 12 9 36:37 45
8 Bangkok FC 32 13 6 13 42:50 45
9 Nakhon Si United 32 13 5 14 51:52 44
10 Sisaket United 32 10 11 11 29:39 41
11 Chiangmai United 32 10 10 12 41:48 40
12 Police Tero 32 11 7 14 39:48 40
13 Chanthaburi 32 10 8 14 37:48 38
14 Chainat Hornbill 32 8 11 13 32:34 35
15 Trat FC 32 9 6 17 36:49 33
16 Pattaya United 32 8 8 16 32:47 32
17 Suphanburi FC 32 5 7 20 42:72 22
18 Samut Prakan City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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