Sport Picks

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San Antonio FC vs Birmingham Legion

USA USA

USL Cup Toyota Field
Sun, Apr 26, 2026
1 - 0
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Antonio FC play Birmingham Legion in the USL Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Antonio FC averaged 1.42 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Birmingham Legion averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, San Antonio FC won 3, Birmingham Legion won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for San Antonio FC and 1.19 for Birmingham Legion. This points to a San Antonio FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
San Antonio FC
34%
Draws
22%
Birmingham Legion
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: San Antonio FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • San Antonio FC picked up more points recently compared to Birmingham Legion.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
San Antonio FC Clean Sheet 20%
Birmingham Legion Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Antonio FC Birmingham Legion
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 14 5
Draws 11 13
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.42 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 USL Cup
San Antonio FC vs Birmingham Legion
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Birmingham Legion
0:0
Jun 20, 2024 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs San Antonio FC
3:0
Jul 2, 2023 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Birmingham Legion
3:1
Oct 9, 2022 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs San Antonio FC
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Antonio FC 44 / 100
Birmingham Legion 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Antonio FC Birmingham Legion

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: San Antonio FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Antonio FC attacking → ← attacking Birmingham Legion

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Antonio FC scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Birmingham Legion let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

San Antonio FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Birmingham Legion lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 28
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sacramento Republic33007:18
2Spokane Velocity32013:56
3Athletic Club Boise32017:65
4Oakland Roots31023:34
5Monterey Bay31026:73
6Las Vegas Lights30031:51
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colorado Springs33007:19
2El Paso Locomotive32015:36
3New Mexico32016:56
4AV Alta FC31023:53
5Phoenix Rising31022:63
6Orange County SC30033:60
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1San Antonio FC33004:18
2Birmingham Legion32015:26
3One Knoxville32014:34
4FC Tulsa31023:44
5Corpus Christi FC31021:43
6Chattanooga Red Wolves30032:52
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Louisville City33009:28
2Indy Eleven43017:47
3Lexington32016:46
4Union Omaha32017:86
5Detroit City31022:35
6Fort Wayne30035:101
7Forward Madison30032:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hartford Athletic32016:27
2Brooklyn FC32018:36
3Rhode Island32015:25
4Portland Hearts of Pine31025:94
5New York Cosmos31024:93
6Westchester SC31025:82
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Charleston33007:18
2Charlotte Independence33005:28
3Pittsburgh Riverhounds31024:35
4Loudoun United31024:53
5Greenville Triumph31023:53
6Richmond Kickers30031:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tampa Bay33008:19
2Miami FC32016:56
3Sporting Jax41033:54
4Sarasota Paradise31022:43
5FC Naples31023:72