Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Antonio FC vs New Mexico

USA USA

USL Championship Toyota Field
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Antonio FC play New Mexico in the USL Championship. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Antonio FC averaged 1.48 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. New Mexico averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, San Antonio FC won 1, New Mexico won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 22, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for San Antonio FC and 1.19 for New Mexico. This points to a San Antonio FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
San Antonio FC
20%
Draws
39%
New Mexico
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Antonio FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • San Antonio FC picked up more points recently compared to New Mexico.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
San Antonio FC Clean Sheet 20%
New Mexico Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Antonio FC New Mexico
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs New Mexico
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 USL Championship
New Mexico vs San Antonio FC
2:0
Sep 7, 2025 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs New Mexico
0:1
Jul 27, 2025 USL Cup
San Antonio FC vs New Mexico
2:3
Jun 22, 2025 USL Championship
New Mexico vs San Antonio FC
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Antonio FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbir D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

New Mexico Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Antonio FC 41 / 100
New Mexico 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Antonio FC New Mexico

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: San Antonio FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Antonio FC attacking → ← attacking New Mexico

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Antonio FC scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

New Mexico let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

San Antonio FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

New Mexico lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 46
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tampa Bay1594224:1231
2Charleston1582530:2126
3Detroit City1473421:1424
4Louisville City1573525:2224
5Indy Eleven1263318:1221
6Pittsburgh Riverhounds1362515:1520
7Hartford Athletic1447312:1319
8Miami FC1546518:2418
9Rhode Island1344523:1816
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1433815:2412
12Loudoun United1418517:2811
13Sporting Jax15041119:414
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1567220:1725
3New Mexico1363415:1421
4Oakland Roots1556424:2221
5Colorado Springs1454524:2219
6Sacramento Republic1354415:1319
7El Paso Locomotive1454525:2419
8FC Tulsa1354417:1619
9Lexington1353521:1618
10Phoenix Rising1545620:2217
11Las Vegas Lights1443721:2515
12Monterey Bay1543814:2215