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San Bartolome vs Ibarra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Vera A.
40' Event
Gopar M.
42' Event
Assouman K. J.

AI Match Summary

San Bartolome in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Bartolome.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
San Bartolome
20%
Draws
36%
Ibarra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Bartolome

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ibarra lately — more wins on the board than San Bartolome.
  • Win probability leans San Bartolome's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
San Bartolome Clean Sheet 68%
Ibarra Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Bartolome Ibarra
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 17
Draws 14 4
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.06 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs Ibarra
4:1
Dec 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs San Bartolome
2:0
Jan 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs Ibarra
1:1
Sep 9, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs San Bartolome
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Bartolome Compare

Top Goalscorer Assouman K. J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vera A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Ibarra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Bartolome 95 / 100
Ibarra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Bartolome Ibarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Bartolome Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: San Bartolome stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Ibarra conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: San Bartolome scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Bartolome VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Bartolome

(Home)
03 Oct
San Bartolome
1 : 1
Villa Santa Brigida
27 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Bartolome
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2
Estrella
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1
San Bartolome
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1
San Bartolome
Page 1 of 7

Ibarra

(Away)
24 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0
Ibarra
17 May
Ibarra
1 : 0
Tamaraceite
11 May
Ibarra
3 : 1
Tamaraceite
04 May
Las Palmas B
2 : 0
Ibarra
26 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0
Herbania
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 34 22 10 2 66:17 76
2 UD San Fernando 34 21 10 3 58:20 73
3 Tamaraceite 34 18 9 7 48:29 63
4 Ibarra 34 18 5 11 49:40 59
5 Mensajero 34 16 8 10 50:37 56
6 Lanzarote 34 16 7 11 56:33 55
7 Panaderia 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 CD Marino 34 12 11 11 43:45 47
9 Arucas 34 12 9 13 38:36 45
10 San Bartolome 34 10 15 9 43:35 45
11 Villa Santa Brigida 34 10 11 13 34:42 41
12 Herbania 34 10 10 14 33:41 40
13 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 10 14 29:42 40
14 San Miguel 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
15 CD Buzanada 34 9 5 20 27:54 32
16 Estrella 34 7 9 18 30:57 30
17 Los Llanos 34 7 7 20 25:52 28
18 Union Viera 34 3 10 21 28:65 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)