Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Forlino I.
Own Goal
63'
63'
Sanchez Rodriguez T.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 game between San Bartolome and Lanzarote finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: San Bartolome
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lanzarote come out ahead of San Bartolome on wins alone.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on San Bartolome taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
San Bartolome Clean Sheet 18%
Lanzarote Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Bartolome | Lanzarote |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 12 | 12 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs Lanzarote
1:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs San Bartolome
3:0
Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs Lanzarote
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs San Bartolome
0:0
Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs Lanzarote
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Bartolome Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Lanzarote Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanchez Rodriguez T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Bartolome 49 / 100
Lanzarote 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Bartolome Lanzarote
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: San Bartolome remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Lanzarote's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: San Bartolome scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
San Bartolome VS Lanzarote
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
San Bartolome
(Home) 10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1 San Bartolome
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Lanzarote
25 Apr
San Bartolome
0 : 0 UD San Fernando
18 Apr
Arucas
0 : 0 San Bartolome
11 Apr
San Bartolome
2 : 1 Villa Santa Brigida
Page 1 of 6
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Lanzarote
25 Apr
San Bartolome
0 : 0 UD San Fernando
11 Apr
San Bartolome
2 : 1 Villa Santa Brigida
28 Mar
San Bartolome
0 : 3 San Miguel
14 Mar
San Bartolome
3 : 1 SD Tenisca
Page 1 of 3
Lanzarote
(Away) 10 May
Lanzarote
0 : 0 Real Union Tenerife
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Lanzarote
25 Apr
Tamaraceite
1 : 1 Lanzarote
19 Apr
Lanzarote
1 : 1 UD San Fernando
11 Apr
Herbania
0 : 0 Lanzarote
Page 1 of 6
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Lanzarote
25 Apr
Tamaraceite
1 : 1 Lanzarote
11 Apr
Herbania
0 : 0 Lanzarote
28 Mar
Las Palmas C
2 : 0 Lanzarote
14 Mar
Panaderia
1 : 1 Lanzarote
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 51:19 | 67 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 49:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 56:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:33 | 55 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44:40 | 39 |
| 13 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:55 | 36 |
| 15 | Arucas | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 31:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Herbania | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39:58 | 32 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:68 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:71 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)
