Sport Picks
San Bartolome vs Lanzarote - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 
Match Events
17'
17'
Forlino I.
Own Goal
63'
63'
Sanchez Rodriguez T.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between San Bartolome and Lanzarote finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
35%
23%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Bartolome
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- San Bartolome have managed 1 goals a game lately — Lanzarote are scoring more at 1.17.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on San Bartolome taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
San Bartolome Clean Sheet 20%
Lanzarote Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Bartolome | Lanzarote |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 14 | 13 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs San Bartolome
1:1
May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs Lanzarote
1:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs San Bartolome
3:0
Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs Lanzarote
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs San Bartolome
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Bartolome Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Lanzarote Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanchez Rodriguez T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Bartolome 58 / 100
Lanzarote 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Bartolome Lanzarote
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Bartolome Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: San Bartolome remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Lanzarote's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: San Bartolome scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
San Bartolome VS Lanzarote
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
San Bartolome
(Home) 03 Oct
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Villa Santa Brigida
27 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Bartolome
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2 Estrella
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1 San Bartolome
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1 San Bartolome
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Villa Santa Brigida
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2 Estrella
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Lanzarote
25 Apr
San Bartolome
0 : 0 UD San Fernando
11 Apr
San Bartolome
2 : 1 Villa Santa Brigida
Page 1 of 3
Lanzarote
(Away) 03 Oct
Las Palmas C
1 : 2 Lanzarote
27 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Bartolome
19 Sept
Villaverde Norte
1 : 1 Lanzarote
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Miguel
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2 Arenas Getxo
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Las Palmas C
1 : 2 Lanzarote
19 Sept
Villaverde Norte
1 : 1 Lanzarote
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Lanzarote
25 Apr
Tamaraceite
1 : 1 Lanzarote
11 Apr
Herbania
0 : 0 Lanzarote
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 51:19 | 67 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 49:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 56:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:33 | 55 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44:40 | 39 |
| 13 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:55 | 36 |
| 15 | Arucas | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 31:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Herbania | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39:58 | 32 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:68 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:71 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
