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San Carlos vs Cartagines

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez, Ciudad Quesada
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Martinez C.
30' Event
Aguilar J.
41'
Faerron F.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between San Carlos and Cartagines finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
San Carlos
15%
Draws
39%
Cartagines
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Carlos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cartagines carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans San Carlos's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
San Carlos Clean Sheet 17%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Carlos Cartagines
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Cartagines
1:0
Apr 22, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs San Carlos
2:1
Mar 2, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Cartagines
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Primera Division
Cartagines vs San Carlos
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Cartagines
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Carlos Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguilar J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Cartagines Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Carlos 41 / 100
Cartagines 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Carlos Cartagines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagines let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

San Carlos's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

San Carlos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Carlos VS Cartagines
1 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Carlos

(Home)
21 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Cartagines
12 Sept
Zeledon
0 : 2
San Carlos
07 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Sporting FC
30 Aug
San Carlos
1 : 2
Puntarenas FC
24 Aug
Alajuelense
0 : 1
San Carlos
Page 1 of 6

Cartagines

(Away)
21 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Cartagines
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1
Alajuelense
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Cartagines
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Herediano 18 12 2 4 26:10 38
2 Saprissa 18 10 4 4 34:19 34
3 Liberia 18 10 3 5 24:18 33
4 Cartagines 18 10 2 6 26:20 32
5 Alajuelense 18 7 5 6 28:20 26
6 Sporting FC 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
7 San Carlos 18 6 3 9 21:25 21
8 Puntarenas FC 18 4 4 10 22:29 16
9 Zeledon 18 2 8 8 19:30 14
10 Guadalupe 18 3 5 10 13:37 14
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)