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San Carlos vs Guadalupe

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez, Ciudad Quesada
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Aguilar J.
25'
Fonseca P.
38' Event
Cordoba R.

AI Match Summary

San Carlos in this Primera Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Carlos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
San Carlos
6%
Draws
4%
Guadalupe
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: San Carlos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guadalupe haven't matched San Carlos's recent run of results.
  • Model gives San Carlos a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors San Carlos here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
San Carlos Clean Sheet 68%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Carlos Guadalupe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 4
Draws 5 9
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Guadalupe
4:0
Feb 14, 2026 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs San Carlos
3:4
Oct 25, 2025 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Guadalupe
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs San Carlos
2:3
Apr 19, 2023 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs San Carlos
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Carlos Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguilar J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cordoba R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Guadalupe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Carlos 95 / 100
Guadalupe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Carlos Guadalupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalupe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

San Carlos found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Guadalupe lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Carlos VS Guadalupe
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Carlos

(Home)
26 Jul
San Carlos
0 : 3
Escorpiones
25 Apr
San Carlos
1 : 1
Zeledon
22 Apr
Cartagines
2 : 1
San Carlos
19 Apr
Herediano
1 : 0
San Carlos
13 Apr
San Carlos
4 : 0
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6

Guadalupe

(Away)
26 Apr
Guadalupe
0 : 5
Cartagines
23 Apr
Saprissa
5 : 0
Guadalupe
18 Apr
Guadalupe
1 : 0
Zeledon
13 Apr
San Carlos
4 : 0
Guadalupe
06 Apr
Alajuelense
1 : 1
Guadalupe
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)