Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Carlos vs Sporting FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez, Ciudad Quesada
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Cerdas K.
32'
Mendez J.
40'
Sub
Hernandez E. In: Aguero P.
Out: Hernandez E.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between San Carlos and Sporting FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Carlos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
San Carlos
15%
Draws
42%
Sporting FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Carlos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Sporting FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
San Carlos Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Carlos Sporting FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.04 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Sporting FC
1:0
Mar 15, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs San Carlos
1:0
Jan 19, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Sporting FC
3:0
Sep 29, 2025 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Sporting FC
0:3
Aug 16, 2025 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs San Carlos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Carlos Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sporting FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Carlos 32 / 100
Sporting FC 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Carlos Sporting FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: San Carlos scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Sporting FC conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

San Carlos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Carlos VS Sporting FC
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Carlos

(Home)
21 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Cartagines
12 Sept
Zeledon
0 : 2
San Carlos
07 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Sporting FC
30 Aug
San Carlos
1 : 2
Puntarenas FC
24 Aug
Alajuelense
0 : 1
San Carlos
Page 1 of 6

Sporting FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Zeledon
1 : 2
Sporting FC
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
07 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Sporting FC
29 Aug
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Inter San Carlos
23 Aug
Herediano
0 : 3
Sporting FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 9 7 0 2 20:10 21
2 Sporting FC 10 6 2 2 19:9 20
3 Cartagines 10 6 0 4 19:13 18
4 San Carlos 9 5 0 4 8:9 15
5 Alajuelense 9 4 2 3 15:10 14
6 Inter San Carlos 9 4 2 3 9:12 14
7 Puntarenas FC 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
8 Zeledon 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
9 Herediano 9 2 1 6 8:14 7
10 Escorpiones 9 1 1 7 6:15 4
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)