Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Diego FC vs Los Angeles FC

USA USA

MLS Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA
San Diego FC Logo

San Diego FC

2 - 2
FT
Los Angeles FC Logo

Los Angeles FC

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ingvartsen M.
Assist: Dreyer A.
15'
Vazquez D.
46'
Sub
Terry J. In: Delgado M.
Out: Terry J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between San Diego FC and Los Angeles FC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
San Diego FC
35%
Draws
46%
Los Angeles FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Los Angeles FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • San Diego FC haven't matched Los Angeles FC's recent run of results.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors San Diego FC here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
San Diego FC Clean Sheet 20%
Los Angeles FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Diego FC Los Angeles FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.6 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs San Diego FC
0:1
May 3, 2026 MLS
San Diego FC vs Los Angeles FC
2:2
Sep 1, 2025 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs San Diego FC
1:2
Mar 30, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs Los Angeles FC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Diego FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingvartsen M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Los Angeles FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouanga D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hollingshead R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Diego FC 32 / 100
Los Angeles FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Diego FC Los Angeles FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Angeles FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: San Diego FC scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Los Angeles FC conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

San Diego FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Diego FC VS Los Angeles FC
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Diego FC

(Home)
27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3
San Diego FC
20 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
San Diego FC
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5
Philadelphia Union
10 Sept
San Diego FC
2 : 3
San Jose Earthquakes
05 Sept
Orlando City
1 : 0
San Diego FC
Page 1 of 6

Los Angeles FC

(Away)
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Los Angeles FC
19 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
13 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1
Los Angeles FC
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0
New York Red Bulls
06 Sept
Real Salt Lake
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 26 15 5 6 59:26 50
2 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
3 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
4 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
5 St. Louis City 26 12 8 6 45:36 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
9 Seattle Sounders 26 9 8 9 33:34 35
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 26 6 3 17 31:63 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
5 Chicago Fire 26 12 6 8 46:38 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 26 9 6 11 34:48 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)