Sport Picks
San Diego Wave W vs Washington Spirit W
USA
NWSL Women Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA 
Match Events
7'
7'
Byars T.
33'
33'
Bernal R.
Assist: Santos L.
45'
45'
Rodman T.
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women game between San Diego Wave W and Washington Spirit W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Diego Wave W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Diego Wave W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and San Diego Wave W come out ahead of Washington Spirit W on wins alone.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on San Diego Wave W taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
San Diego Wave W Clean Sheet 20%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Diego Wave W | Washington Spirit W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs San Diego Wave W
0:1
May 16, 2026 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Washington Spirit W
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs San Diego Wave W
2:1
Jun 23, 2025 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Washington Spirit W
0:0
Sep 2, 2024 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Washington Spirit W
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Diego Wave W Compare
Top Goalscorer Byars T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ascanio K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Washington Spirit W Compare
Top Goalscorer Bernal R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Diego Wave W 58 / 100
Washington Spirit W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Diego Wave W Washington Spirit W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Diego Wave W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Diego Wave W found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Washington Spirit W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: San Diego Wave W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
San Diego Wave W VS Washington Spirit W
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
San Diego Wave W
(Home) 25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 San Diego Wave W
19 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0 Kansas City Current W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
07 Sept
Seattle Reign W
1 : 0 San Diego Wave W
29 Aug
San Diego Wave W
3 : 2 Racing Louisville W
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0 Kansas City Current W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
29 Aug
San Diego Wave W
3 : 2 Racing Louisville W
22 Aug
San Diego Wave W
4 : 2 Utah Royals W
15 Aug
San Diego Wave W
1 : 1 Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 4
Washington Spirit W
(Away) 26 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 1 Angel City W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 3 Boston Legacy W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
30 Aug
Washington Spirit W
1 : 0 Bay FC W
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Washington Spirit W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
17 Aug
Angel City W
1 : 1 Washington Spirit W
30 Jul
Utah Royals W
0 : 1 Washington Spirit W
19 Jul
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 34:20 | 54 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 38:27 | 48 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 36:24 | 46 |
| 4 | Portland Thorns FC W | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 43:35 | 43 |
| 5 | Angel City W | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 44:28 | 42 |
| 6 | Utah Royals W | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 41:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Kansas City Current W | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 43:37 | 41 |
| 8 | Seattle Reign W | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 33:31 | 40 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 48:37 | 39 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 42:37 | 35 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 35:41 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 32:36 | 30 |
| 13 | Bay FC W | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 27:37 | 26 |
| 14 | Boston Legacy W | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 32:44 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 35:51 | 23 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 15:60 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
