Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Diego Wave W vs Washington Spirit W

USA USA

NWSL Women Snapdragon Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Byars T.
33' Event
Bernal R.
Assist: Santos L.
45'
Rodman T.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between San Diego Wave W and Washington Spirit W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Diego Wave W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
San Diego Wave W
30%
Draws
34%
Washington Spirit W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Diego Wave W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Washington Spirit W come out ahead of San Diego Wave W on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on San Diego Wave W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
San Diego Wave W Clean Sheet 19%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Diego Wave W Washington Spirit W
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 14 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Washington Spirit W
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs San Diego Wave W
2:1
Jun 23, 2025 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Washington Spirit W
0:0
Sep 2, 2024 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Washington Spirit W
1:1
Jun 15, 2024 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs San Diego Wave W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Diego Wave W Compare

Top Goalscorer Byars T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ascanio K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Washington Spirit W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernal R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Diego Wave W 36 / 100
Washington Spirit W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Diego Wave W Washington Spirit W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Diego Wave W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: San Diego Wave W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Washington Spirit W conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

San Diego Wave W VS Washington Spirit W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gotham FC W1593319:1030
2San Diego Wave W1692523:1729
3Washington Spirit W1483322:1127
4Portland Thorns FC W1683525:1827
5Kansas City Current W1581623:2225
6Utah Royals W1473421:1624
7Angel City W1471622:1422
8North Carolina Courage W1463520:1921
9Orlando Pride W1562721:2020
10Denver Summit W1454521:1919
11Bay FC W1453616:1918
12Seattle Reign W1452715:1917
13Boston Legacy W1544716:2116
14Houston Dash W1443717:2315
15Chicago Stars W1540118:3012
16Racing Louisville W13211015:267