Sport Picks
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Grassina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 
Match Events
33'
33'
Disanto F.
58'
58'
Disanto F.
78'
78'
Regoli V.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 game between San Donato Tavarnelle and Grassina finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Donato Tavarnelle.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Donato Tavarnelle
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Donato Tavarnelle carry the better recent record into this one.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on San Donato Tavarnelle taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 20%
Grassina Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Grassina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 16, 2021 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Grassina
4:0
Feb 14, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs San Donato Tavarnelle
0:1
Mar 8, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs San Donato Tavarnelle
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Grassina
0:1
Oct 9, 2019 Coppa Italia Serie D
Grassina vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Donato Tavarnelle Compare
Top Goalscorer Disanto F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Regoli V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Grassina Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Donato Tavarnelle 58 / 100
Grassina 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Donato Tavarnelle Grassina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Donato Tavarnelle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Grassina conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.
San Donato Tavarnelle scored in 65% of their last 31 games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
San Donato Tavarnelle went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Donato Tavarnelle VS Grassina
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Donato Tavarnelle
(Home) 04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Mezzolara
27 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
16 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
13 Sept
Sasso Marconi
1 : 3 San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Mezzolara
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
06 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
23 Aug
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Siena
05 Aug
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 2 Scandicci
Page 1 of 4
Grassina
(Away) 04 Oct
Grassina
3 : 6 Lucchese
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0 Grassina
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3 Scandicci
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1 Grassina
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1 Flaminia
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0 Grassina
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1 Grassina
06 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 0 Grassina
13 Aug
Montevarchi
1 : 0 Grassina
16 Jun
San Donato Tavarnelle
4 : 0 Grassina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevarchi | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 68:32 | 71 |
| 2 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 56:38 | 60 |
| 3 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 48:33 | 56 |
| 4 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48:40 | 54 |
| 5 | Siena | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:40 | 53 |
| 6 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48:37 | 51 |
| 7 | Pianese | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 41:34 | 51 |
| 8 | Lornano Badesse | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 51:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Tiferno Lerchi | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44:48 | 47 |
| 10 | Cannara | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 41:48 | 47 |
| 11 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 42:43 | 45 |
| 12 | Montespaccato | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 40:47 | 41 |
| 13 | Ostiamare | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 50:54 | 39 |
| 14 | Flaminia | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 44:57 | 39 |
| 15 | Foligno | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 35:48 | 36 |
| 16 | Scandicci | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 42:49 | 35 |
| 17 | Grassina | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 32:52 | 30 |
| 18 | UC Sinalunghese | 34 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 24:58 | 23 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
