Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Donato Tavarnelle vs Grassina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Donato Tavarnelle play Grassina in the Serie D - Group E 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Donato Tavarnelle averaged 0.84 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Grassina averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, San Donato Tavarnelle won 3, Grassina won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 16, 2021 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for San Donato Tavarnelle and 1.13 for Grassina. This points to a San Donato Tavarnelle double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
San Donato Tavarnelle
33%
Draws
27%
Grassina
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: San Donato Tavarnelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • San Donato Tavarnelle picked up more points recently compared to Grassina.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 14%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 21%
Grassina Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Donato Tavarnelle Grassina
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 12 12
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.84 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2021 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Grassina
4:0
Feb 14, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs San Donato Tavarnelle
0:1
Mar 8, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs San Donato Tavarnelle
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Grassina
0:1
Oct 9, 2019 Coppa Italia Serie D
Grassina vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Donato Tavarnelle Compare

Top Goalscorer Disanto F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Regoli V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Grassina Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Donato Tavarnelle 40 / 100
Grassina 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Donato Tavarnelle Grassina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: San Donato Tavarnelle or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +33.4%
5.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Donato Tavarnelle attacking → ← attacking Grassina

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Donato Tavarnelle scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Grassina let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

San Donato Tavarnelle went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Grassina lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 27
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Montevarchi34218568:3271
2Trastevere Calcio34179856:3860
3Sporting Trestina341511848:3356
4San Donato Tavarnelle341412848:4054
5Siena341581148:4053
6Follonica Gavorrano341491148:3751
7Pianese341312941:3451
8Lornano Badesse341391251:4448
9Tiferno Lerchi341381344:4847
10Cannara3412111141:4847
11Sangiovannese341291342:4345
12Montespaccato341181540:4741
13Ostiamare348151150:5439
14Flaminia349121344:5739
15Foligno34991635:4836
16Scandicci341071742:4935
17Grassina346121632:5230
18UC Sinalunghese344111924:5823