Sport Picks
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Seravezza Pozzi
Italy
Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 
Match Events
22'
22'
Tognoni M.
90'
90'
Gistri P.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Donato Tavarnelle
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- San Donato Tavarnelle haven't matched Seravezza Pozzi's recent run of results.
- 33% — that's where the model lands on Seravezza Pozzi taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 17%
Seravezza Pozzi Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Seravezza Pozzi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 33 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 13 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Seravezza Pozzi
2:1
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Seravezza Pozzi
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs San Donato Tavarnelle
2:0
Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Seravezza Pozzi
0:2
Nov 6, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie D
Seravezza Pozzi vs San Donato Tavarnelle
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Donato Tavarnelle Compare
Top Goalscorer Gistri P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Seravezza Pozzi Compare
Top Goalscorer Tognoni M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Donato Tavarnelle 23 / 100
Seravezza Pozzi 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Donato Tavarnelle Seravezza Pozzi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Seravezza Pozzi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Donato Tavarnelle found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).
Defensive concern: Seravezza Pozzi conceded in 61% of 33 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: San Donato Tavarnelle remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
San Donato Tavarnelle VS Seravezza Pozzi
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Donato Tavarnelle
(Home) 20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
16 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
13 Sept
Sasso Marconi
1 : 3 San Donato Tavarnelle
06 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
23 Aug
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Siena
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
06 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
23 Aug
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Siena
05 Aug
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 2 Scandicci
03 May
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
Page 1 of 3
Seravezza Pozzi
(Away) 20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3 Seravezza Pozzi
16 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 1 Montevarchi
12 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
5 : 0 Lucchese
06 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
21 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 1 Scandicci
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3 Seravezza Pozzi
06 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
17 May
Prato
1 : 2 Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Tau
0 : 2 Seravezza Pozzi
03 May
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)
