Sport Picks
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Seravezza Pozzi
Italy
Serie D - Group E 
Match Events
22'
22'
Tognoni M.
90'
90'
Gistri P.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: San Donato Tavarnelle
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- San Donato Tavarnelle haven't matched Seravezza Pozzi's recent run of results.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on San Donato Tavarnelle taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 68%
Seravezza Pozzi Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Seravezza Pozzi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 13 |
| Draws | 12 | 12 |
| Losses | 12 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Seravezza Pozzi
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs San Donato Tavarnelle
2:0
Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Seravezza Pozzi
0:2
Nov 6, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie D
Seravezza Pozzi vs San Donato Tavarnelle
2:1
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs San Donato Tavarnelle
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Donato Tavarnelle Compare
Top Goalscorer Gistri P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Seravezza Pozzi Compare
Top Goalscorer Tognoni M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Donato Tavarnelle 59 / 100
Seravezza Pozzi 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Donato Tavarnelle Seravezza Pozzi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Seravezza Pozzi conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Solid form: San Donato Tavarnelle remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
San Donato Tavarnelle found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
San Donato Tavarnelle VS Seravezza Pozzi
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Donato Tavarnelle
(Home) 03 May
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
26 Apr
Grosseto
0 : 2 San Donato Tavarnelle
19 Apr
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 0 Foligno
12 Apr
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 0 Ghiviborgo
02 Apr
Cannara
1 : 0 San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 6
03 May
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
19 Apr
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 0 Foligno
12 Apr
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 0 Ghiviborgo
29 Mar
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 3 Siena
15 Mar
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 1 Terranuova Traiana
Page 1 of 3
Seravezza Pozzi
(Away) 17 May
Prato
1 : 2 Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Tau
0 : 2 Seravezza Pozzi
03 May
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
26 Apr
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 0 Foligno
19 Apr
Ghiviborgo
1 : 0 Seravezza Pozzi
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Prato
1 : 2 Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Tau
0 : 2 Seravezza Pozzi
03 May
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
19 Apr
Ghiviborgo
1 : 0 Seravezza Pozzi
02 Apr
Prato
1 : 0 Seravezza Pozzi
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)