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San Donato Tavarnelle vs Tau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event

AI Match Summary

San Donato Tavarnelle in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Donato Tavarnelle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
San Donato Tavarnelle
20%
Draws
51%
Tau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • San Donato Tavarnelle haven't matched Tau's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 19%
Tau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Donato Tavarnelle Tau
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.15 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Tau
1:0
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Tau
2:2
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Tau vs San Donato Tavarnelle
3:0
Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Tau vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1:1
Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Tau
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Donato Tavarnelle 32 / 100
Tau 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Donato Tavarnelle Tau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Donato Tavarnelle's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Tau has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

San Donato Tavarnelle went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Donato Tavarnelle VS Tau
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Donato Tavarnelle

(Home)
18 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 0
Tau
11 Oct
Prato
2 : 0
San Donato Tavarnelle
04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1
Mezzolara
27 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2
Follonica Gavorrano
Page 1 of 7

Tau

(Away)
18 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 0
Tau
11 Oct
Tau
1 : 1
Grassina
04 Oct
Ghiviborgo
0 : 1
Tau
27 Sept
Tau
3 : 2
Rondinella
20 Sept
Ternana
3 : 0
Tau
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prato 8 5 3 0 12:5 18
2 Follonica Gavorrano 8 4 4 0 11:5 16
3 Seravezza Pozzi 8 4 2 2 15:5 14
4 Lucchese 8 4 2 2 18:15 14
5 Siena 8 4 1 3 15:10 13
6 Tau 8 4 1 3 11:14 13
7 Ternana 8 3 3 2 13:8 12
8 Scandicci 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
9 Terranuova Traiana 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
10 Flaminia 8 3 3 2 10:11 12
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 8 3 2 3 9:10 11
12 Montevarchi 8 3 1 4 12:12 10
13 Mezzolara 8 1 6 1 7:9 9
14 Rondinella 8 2 3 3 6:10 9
15 Sasso Marconi 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
16 Grassina 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
17 SCD Progresso 8 1 0 7 4:17 3
18 Ghiviborgo 8 0 2 6 6:16 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)