Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Giovanni vs SC Faetano

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Fabbri D.
Assist: Zanni M.
72' Event
Fabbri D.

AI Match Summary

San Giovanni in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Giovanni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
San Giovanni
20%
Draws
32%
SC Faetano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Giovanni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Giovanni lately — more wins on the board than SC Faetano.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
San Giovanni Clean Sheet 68%
SC Faetano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Giovanni SC Faetano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 0.97 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs SC Faetano
2:0
Nov 30, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs San Giovanni
1:0
Feb 1, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs San Giovanni
3:3
Sep 29, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs SC Faetano
2:0
Mar 9, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs San Giovanni
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Giovanni Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabbri D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

SC Faetano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Giovanni 41 / 100
SC Faetano 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Giovanni SC Faetano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Giovanni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SC Faetano conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: SC Faetano has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

San Giovanni's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

San Giovanni VS SC Faetano
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Giovanni

(Home)
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3
Cailungo
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1
SP Cosmos
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3
Tre Penne
Page 1 of 6

SC Faetano

(Away)
18 Sept
AC Libertas
1 : 1
SC Faetano
13 Sept
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 0
SC Faetano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1
SC Faetano
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4
Tre Fiori
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0
SC Faetano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)