Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Giovanni vs SP Domagnano

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ferraro N.
Assist: Bonetti M.
42' Event
Bonetti M.
Assist: Sopranzi P.

AI Match Summary

SP Domagnano in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SP Domagnano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
San Giovanni
15%
Draws
64%
SP Domagnano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SP Domagnano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SP Domagnano lately — more wins on the board than San Giovanni.
  • SP Domagnano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
San Giovanni Clean Sheet 10%
SP Domagnano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Giovanni SP Domagnano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs San Giovanni
4:0
Apr 18, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs SP Domagnano
0:2
Dec 20, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs San Giovanni
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs SP Domagnano
2:2
Dec 22, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs San Giovanni
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Giovanni Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

SP Domagnano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferraro N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonetti M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Giovanni 10 / 100
SP Domagnano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Giovanni SP Domagnano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SP Domagnano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SP Domagnano has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

San Giovanni found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

San Giovanni went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Giovanni VS SP Domagnano
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Giovanni

(Home)
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3
Cailungo
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1
SP Cosmos
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3
Tre Penne
Page 1 of 6

SP Domagnano

(Away)
19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2
La Fiorita
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0
SP Domagnano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1
SC Faetano
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)