Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Sowatey D.
20'
20'
Akiti T.
30'
30'
Ebisindor C.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with San Gwann advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Gwann
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Gwann haven't matched Mgarr's recent run of results.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on San Gwann taking it.
- Mgarr arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor San Gwann, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
San Gwann Clean Sheet 15%
Mgarr Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Gwann | Mgarr |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 15, 2023 FA Trophy
San Gwann vs Mgarr
3:1
Oct 27, 2018 FA Trophy
Mgarr vs San Gwann
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Gwann Compare
Top Goalscorer Sowatey D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Akiti T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
Mgarr Compare
Top Goalscorer Ebisindor C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Gwann 84 / 100
Mgarr 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Gwann Mgarr
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Gwann Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
San Gwann found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Mgarr conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.
San Gwann has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Mgarr
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
San Gwann
(Home) 23 Apr
Swieqi
2 : 0 San Gwann
15 Apr
Mqabba FC
1 : 3 San Gwann
08 Apr
San Gwann
2 : 1 Mtarfa
01 Apr
Marsa
1 : 2 San Gwann
11 Mar
San Gwann
1 : 1 Marsaskala FC
Page 1 of 6
08 Apr
San Gwann
2 : 1 Mtarfa
11 Mar
San Gwann
1 : 1 Marsaskala FC
01 Mar
San Gwann
2 : 0 Lija
05 Feb
San Gwann
0 : 1 Qrendi
21 Jan
San Gwann
0 : 1 Vittoriosa
Page 1 of 3
Mgarr
(Away) 19 Sept
Melita
1 : 2 Mgarr
13 Sept
Mgarr
1 : 3 Tarxien
18 Apr
Zurrieq
4 : 2 Mgarr
12 Apr
Mgarr
0 : 2 Gudja
06 Apr
Mgarr
1 : 1 Santa Lucia
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Melita
1 : 2 Mgarr
18 Apr
Zurrieq
4 : 2 Mgarr
08 Mar
Zebbug
0 : 2 Mgarr
28 Feb
Marsa
1 : 2 Mgarr
14 Feb
Gudja
0 : 0 Mgarr
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Kalkara 0
Tarxien 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Nadur 7
Vittoriosa 1
Valletta -
TBD -
St. Andrews 0
Zabbar 4
Hamrun -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem 5
Qrendi 0
Marsa 2
Melita 3
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Swieqi 3
Fgura 0
TBD -
Zebbug -
Pieta -
TBD -
Xewkija 2
Lija 0
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
Attard 3
Birzebbuga 2
Kercem Ajax 3
Marsaskala FC 2
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Mtarfa -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 1
Qala Saints 3
Gudja -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions 5
Oratory 1
Sirens -
TBD -
Mqabba FC 3
Victoria Hotspurs 2
1/16-finals
Balzan FC 4
Tarxien 0
Birkirkara 4
Nadur 0
Valletta 5
Zabbar 1
Hamrun 3
Ghajnsielem 1
Melita 0
Mosta FC 3
Swieqi 1
Zebbug 0
Pieta 2
Xewkija 0
San Gwann 3
Mgarr 1
Hibernians 3
Zurrieq 1
Attard 2
Kercem Ajax 8
Floriana 0
Santa Lucia 1
Zejtun 0
Marsaxlokk 5
Gzira 2
Sliema 0
Mtarfa 1
Qala Saints 2
Gudja 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Sirens 1
Mqabba FC 0
1/8-finals
Balzan FC 2
Birkirkara 3
Valletta 1
Hamrun 2
Mosta FC 2
Swieqi 1
Pieta 0
San Gwann 2
Hibernians 8
Kercem Ajax 0
Santa Lucia 0
Marsaxlokk 2
Gzira 3
Qala Saints 0
Gudja 1
Sirens 0
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 1
Hamrun 0
Mosta FC 5
San Gwann 0
Hibernians 0
Marsaxlokk 1
Gzira 2
Gudja 1
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 4
Mosta FC 3
Marsaxlokk 2
Gzira 1
Final
Birkirkara 2
Marsaxlokk 0
