Sport Picks

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San Ignacio vs Alaves C

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Oteo I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between San Ignacio and Alaves C finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alaves C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
San Ignacio
35%
Draws
28%
Alaves C
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Ignacio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • San Ignacio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
San Ignacio Clean Sheet 68%
Alaves C Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Ignacio Alaves C
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 17 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.56 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Alaves C
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs San Ignacio
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs San Ignacio
2:0
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Alaves C
2:0
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs San Ignacio
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Ignacio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Alaves C Compare

Top Goalscorer Oteo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Ignacio 41 / 100
Alaves C 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Ignacio Alaves C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Ignacio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: San Ignacio remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

San Ignacio found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).

Alaves C let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

San Ignacio VS Alaves C
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

San Ignacio

(Home)
12 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 1
Derio
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
29 Aug
San Ignacio
3 : 3
Leioa
26 Aug
Oyonesa
1 : 4
San Ignacio
20 Aug
Amurrio Club
0 : 3
San Ignacio
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Alaves C

(Away)
12 Sept
Alaves C
3 : 0
Amurrio Club
05 Sept
Eibar C
1 : 1
Alaves C
02 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 6
Alaves C
22 Aug
Beasain
3 : 1
Alaves C
09 May
Alaves C
1 : 2
Portugalete
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)