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San Ignacio vs Eibar C - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
1 - 1
10:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Relloso M.
37' Event

AI Match Summary

San Ignacio host Eibar C in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Eibar C have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while San Ignacio have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.55. Past meetings favor San Ignacio slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.63, favoring San Ignacio. Under 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
San Ignacio
35%
Draws
32%
Eibar C
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Ignacio come out ahead of Eibar C on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
San Ignacio Clean Sheet 68%
Eibar C Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Ignacio Eibar C
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs San Ignacio
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Eibar C
1:0
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs San Ignacio
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Eibar C
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Ignacio Compare

Top Goalscorer Relloso M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Eibar C Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Ignacio 41 / 100
Eibar C 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Ignacio Eibar C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Ignacio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eibar C let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

San Ignacio's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

San Ignacio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Ignacio VS Eibar C
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Ignacio

(Home)
04 Oct
Real Union B
0 : 3
San Ignacio
27 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 2
Pasaia
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
San Ignacio
12 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 1
Derio
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
Page 1 of 7

Eibar C

(Away)
04 Oct
Eibar C
2 : 3
Real Sociedad C
26 Sept
Leioa
2 : 1
Eibar C
19 Sept
Eibar C
3 : 1
SD Erandio
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
05 Sept
Eibar C
1 : 1
Alaves C
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 5 4 1 0 10:4 13
2 Derio 5 3 2 0 7:2 11
3 Pasaia 5 3 1 1 7:6 10
4 Leioa 5 2 3 0 12:6 9
5 Real Sociedad C 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
6 Touring KE 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
7 UD Aretxabaleta 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
8 Alaves C 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
9 Lagun Onak 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
10 SCD Durango 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
11 SD Erandio 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
12 San Ignacio 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
13 Eibar C 5 1 2 2 8:8 5
14 Real Union B 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
15 Sodupe 5 1 2 2 4:9 5
16 Beasain 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
17 Santurtzi 5 1 0 4 2:7 3
18 Amurrio Club 5 0 1 4 1:12 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)