Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Ignacio vs SD Deusto

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Niwa D.
Own Goal
88' Event
Ladrera A.

AI Match Summary

San Ignacio in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Ignacio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
San Ignacio
15%
Draws
21%
SD Deusto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Ignacio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • San Ignacio have won more games recently than SD Deusto.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on San Ignacio taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
San Ignacio Clean Sheet 68%
SD Deusto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Ignacio SD Deusto
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.39 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs SD Deusto
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs San Ignacio
0:1
May 10, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs San Ignacio
1:1
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs SD Deusto
2:0
Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs SD Deusto
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Ignacio Compare

Top Goalscorer Ladrera A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

SD Deusto Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Ignacio 95 / 100
SD Deusto 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Ignacio SD Deusto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Ignacio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Ignacio scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

SD Deusto let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: San Ignacio remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Ignacio VS SD Deusto
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Ignacio

(Home)
26 Aug
Oyonesa
1 : 4
San Ignacio
20 Aug
Amurrio Club
0 : 3
San Ignacio
15 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
1 : 4
San Ignacio
09 May
Touring KE
1 : 2
San Ignacio
03 May
San Ignacio
0 : 1
Alaves C
Page 1 of 7

SD Deusto

(Away)
09 May
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
SD Deusto
03 May
SD Deusto
1 : 3
Leioa
26 Apr
Eibar C
5 : 0
SD Deusto
18 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Anorga
11 Apr
SCD Durango
1 : 1
SD Deusto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)