Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Jose Earthquakes II vs Los Angeles FC 2

USA USA

MLS Next Pro PayPal Park, San Jose, CA
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Rodriguez E.
Assist: Guerra D.
32' Event
Fernandez N.
Assist: Buck N.
41' Event
Donnery J.
Assist: Adimabua N.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between San Jose Earthquakes II and Los Angeles FC 2 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Jose Earthquakes II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
San Jose Earthquakes II
33%
Draws
27%
Los Angeles FC 2
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: San Jose Earthquakes II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • San Jose Earthquakes II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives San Jose Earthquakes II a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors San Jose Earthquakes II here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
San Jose Earthquakes II Clean Sheet 17%
Los Angeles FC 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Jose Earthquakes II Los Angeles FC 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Los Angeles FC 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II
2:1
Mar 9, 2026 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Los Angeles FC 2
4:1
Aug 4, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Los Angeles FC 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II
3:4
Jun 2, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Los Angeles FC 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II
1:2
Apr 28, 2025 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Los Angeles FC 2
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Jose Earthquakes II Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Donnery J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Los Angeles FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Jose Earthquakes II 39 / 100
Los Angeles FC 2 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Jose Earthquakes II Los Angeles FC 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Los Angeles FC 2 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

San Jose Earthquakes II's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Los Angeles FC 2 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Jose Earthquakes II VS Los Angeles FC 2
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Jose Earthquakes II

(Home)
26 Jul
Ventura County
3 : 0
San Jose Earthquakes II
19 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
0 : 1
North Texas
13 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
0 : 1
Tacoma Defiance
08 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
6 : 1
Sporting Kansas City II
27 Jun
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 3
San Jose Earthquakes II
Page 1 of 6

Los Angeles FC 2

(Away)
26 Jul
North Texas
2 : 3
Los Angeles FC 2
19 Jul
Ventura County
2 : 0
Los Angeles FC 2
12 Jul
Los Angeles FC 2
0 : 1
Portland Timbers 2
06 Jul
Los Angeles FC 2
2 : 3
Real Monarchs
29 Jun
Los Angeles FC 2
3 : 1
Houston Dynamo 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 220140636:3139
2New England Revolution II19120728:2236
3New York Red Bulls II201001040:3232
4CT United FC19110835:3331
5New York City II1890929:2928
6Philadelphia Union II20901121:2726
7Toronto FC II20801231:3825
8FC Cincinnati 219601319:3616
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy19140547:2740
2Chattanooga20130739:3037
3Orlando City B20120840:3435
4Atlanta United 219100941:3033
5Chicago Fire II19100934:2830
6Huntsville City19901032:3528
7Carolina Core21601527:3721
8Inter Miami II18201616:468
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 220130726:2340
2Ventura County20120837:2735
3Los Angeles FC 219100930:3231
4Tacoma Defiance201001025:2730
5San Jose Earthquakes II1890937:2328
6Real Monarchs201001031:3626
7Vancouver Whitecaps 221701426:4519
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II19140541:1744
2Houston Dynamo 218150340:1642
3St. Louis City 2201001031:3330
4Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
5North Texas18801029:2326
6Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
7Colorado Rapids 220301718:3912
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy19140547:2740
2Columbus Crew 220140636:3139
3Chattanooga20130739:3037
4New England Revolution II19120728:2236
5Orlando City B20120840:3435
6Atlanta United 219100941:3033
7New York Red Bulls II201001040:3232
8CT United FC19110835:3331
9Chicago Fire II19100934:2830
10New York City II1890929:2928
11Huntsville City19901032:3528
12Philadelphia Union II20901121:2726
13Toronto FC II20801231:3825
14Carolina Core21601527:3721
15FC Cincinnati 219601319:3616
16Inter Miami II18201616:468
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II19140541:1744
2Houston Dynamo 218150340:1642
3Portland Timbers 220130726:2340
4Ventura County20120837:2735
5Los Angeles FC 219100930:3231
6Tacoma Defiance201001025:2730
7St. Louis City 2201001031:3330
8Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
9San Jose Earthquakes II1890937:2328
10North Texas18801029:2326
11Real Monarchs201001031:3626
12Vancouver Whitecaps 221701426:4519
13Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
14Colorado Rapids 220301718:3912
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)