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Stadium Background

San Jose Earthquakes II vs Los Angeles FC 2

USA USA

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Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Rodriguez E.
Assist: Guerra D.
32' Event
Fernandez N.
Assist: Buck N.
41' Event
Donnery J.
Assist: Adimabua N.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between San Jose Earthquakes II and Los Angeles FC 2 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Jose Earthquakes II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
San Jose Earthquakes II
22%
Draws
18%
Los Angeles FC 2
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: San Jose Earthquakes II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • San Jose Earthquakes II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives San Jose Earthquakes II a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors San Jose Earthquakes II here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
San Jose Earthquakes II Clean Sheet 14%
Los Angeles FC 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Jose Earthquakes II Los Angeles FC 2
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 0 0
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 2.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Los Angeles FC 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II
2:1
Mar 9, 2026 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Los Angeles FC 2
4:1
Aug 4, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Los Angeles FC 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II
3:4
Jun 2, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Los Angeles FC 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II
1:2
Apr 28, 2025 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Los Angeles FC 2
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Jose Earthquakes II Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Donnery J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Los Angeles FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Jose Earthquakes II 57 / 100
Los Angeles FC 2 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Jose Earthquakes II Los Angeles FC 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Jose Earthquakes II found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Los Angeles FC 2 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Los Angeles FC 2 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Jose Earthquakes II VS Los Angeles FC 2
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
2New York Red Bulls II19100940:2932
3New England Revolution II17110623:2032
4New York City II1690727:2328
5CT United FC18100833:3228
6Philadelphia Union II19901021:2326
7Toronto FC II19801130:3625
8FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy18130544:2737
2Orlando City B19120740:3335
3Chattanooga19120735:3034
4Atlanta United 21890938:2830
5Chicago Fire II1890929:2727
6Huntsville City18801031:3525
7Carolina Core19501422:3218
8Inter Miami II16101514:415
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
2Ventura County19110834:2732
3Los Angeles FC 21890928:3029
4San Jose Earthquakes II1790837:2028
5Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
6Real Monarchs19100931:3526
7Vancouver Whitecaps 219601325:4017
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
2Austin FC II17130436:1640
3Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
4St. Louis City 219100930:3229
5North Texas1780927:2125
6Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
7Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
2Crown Legacy18130544:2737
3Orlando City B19120740:3335
4Chattanooga19120735:3034
5New York Red Bulls II19100940:2932
6New England Revolution II17110623:2032
7Atlanta United 21890938:2830
8New York City II1690727:2328
9CT United FC18100833:3228
10Chicago Fire II1890929:2727
11Philadelphia Union II19901021:2326
12Toronto FC II19801130:3625
13Huntsville City18801031:3525
14Carolina Core19501422:3218
15FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
16Inter Miami II16101514:415
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
2Austin FC II17130436:1640
3Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
4Ventura County19110834:2732
5Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
6St. Louis City 219100930:3229
7Los Angeles FC 21890928:3029
8San Jose Earthquakes II1790837:2028
9Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
10Real Monarchs19100931:3526
11North Texas1780927:2125
12Vancouver Whitecaps 219601325:4017
13Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
14Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712