Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro PayPal Park

San Jose Earthquakes II

3 - 0

Real Monarchs

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Donnery J.

Assist: Spivey J.

35'

Donnery J.

Assist: de Flores S.

40'

Dossmann N.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between San Jose Earthquakes II and Real Monarchs finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Jose Earthquakes II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

San Jose Earthquakes II

17%

Draws

13%

Real Monarchs

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: San Jose Earthquakes II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Real Monarchs have managed 1.63 goals a game lately — San Jose Earthquakes II are scoring more at 3.
70% — that's where the model lands on San Jose Earthquakes II taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 80%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

San Jose Earthquakes II Clean Sheet 15%

Real Monarchs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Jose Earthquakes II	Real Monarchs
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	17	17
Draws	0	0
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	3	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	3.00	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2026 MLS Next Pro

San Jose Earthquakes II vs Real Monarchs

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

May 13, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Real Monarchs vs San Jose Earthquakes II

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Aug 28, 2025 MLS Next Pro

San Jose Earthquakes II vs Real Monarchs

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Jul 27, 2025 MLS Next Pro

San Jose Earthquakes II vs Real Monarchs

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 3 - 0

4:0

Apr 11, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Real Monarchs vs San Jose Earthquakes II

Possession: 47% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Jose Earthquakes II Compare

Top Goalscorer Donnery J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Allen T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.31

Avg xA / game 1.5

Real Monarchs Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Jose Earthquakes II 66 / 100

Real Monarchs 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Jose Earthquakes II Real Monarchs

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: San Jose Earthquakes II scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Real Monarchs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

San Jose Earthquakes II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Jose Earthquakes II VS Real Monarchs

3 Goals Scored 1.63

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 75%

63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
3	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
4	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
5	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
6	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
7	Toronto FC II	18	7	11	27:35	22
8	FC Cincinnati 2	17	5	12	16:31	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	17	12	5	41:25	34
2	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
3	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
4	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
5	Chicago Fire II	17	9	8	27:24	27
6	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
7	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
8	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
5	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
6	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
4	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
5	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	Crown Legacy	17	12	5	41:25	34
3	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
4	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
5	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
6	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
7	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
8	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
9	Chicago Fire II	17	9	8	27:24	27
10	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
11	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
12	Toronto FC II	18	7	11	27:35	22
13	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
14	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
15	FC Cincinnati 2	17	5	12	16:31	14
16	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
4	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
5	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
6	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
7	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
8	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
9	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
10	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
11	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12