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San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS PayPal Park, San Jose, CA
San Jose Earthquakes Logo

San Jose Earthquakes

1 - 0
FT
Houston Dynamo Logo

Houston Dynamo

Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Vieira R.
3'
Arena B.
19'
Leroux B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between San Jose Earthquakes and Houston Dynamo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Jose Earthquakes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
San Jose Earthquakes
35%
Draws
20%
Houston Dynamo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Jose Earthquakes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Houston Dynamo come out ahead of San Jose Earthquakes on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans San Jose Earthquakes's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
San Jose Earthquakes Clean Sheet 18%
Houston Dynamo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Jose Earthquakes Houston Dynamo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.79 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 MLS
San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo
1:0
Aug 30, 2026 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes
1:2
May 25, 2025 MLS
San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo
3:3
Jul 18, 2024 MLS
San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Jose Earthquakes Compare

Top Goalscorer Munie D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Houston Dynamo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Jose Earthquakes 36 / 100
Houston Dynamo 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Jose Earthquakes Houston Dynamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: San Jose Earthquakes scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: San Jose Earthquakes stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Houston Dynamo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

San Jose Earthquakes VS Houston Dynamo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Jose Earthquakes

(Home)
27 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 1
Portland Timbers
19 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
13 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 0
Houston Dynamo
10 Sept
San Diego FC
2 : 3
San Jose Earthquakes
06 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1
San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 6

Houston Dynamo

(Away)
27 Sept
Houston Dynamo
0 : 2
Sporting Kansas City
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2
FC Cincinnati
13 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 0
Houston Dynamo
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1
Real Salt Lake
05 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 0
Houston Dynamo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)