Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Lorenzo 2 vs Instituto 2

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Bujedo B.
66' Event
Crisafulli J. C.
80' Event
Marasca I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
San Lorenzo 2
15%
Draws
59%
Instituto 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Instituto 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • San Lorenzo 2 have won more games recently than Instituto 2.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
San Lorenzo 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Instituto 2 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Lorenzo 2 Instituto 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 14
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.3 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Reserve League
San Lorenzo 2 vs Instituto 2
2:2
Aug 20, 2025 Reserve League
San Lorenzo 2 vs Instituto 2
0:1
May 16, 2025 Reserve League
Instituto 2 vs San Lorenzo 2
1:0
Sep 24, 2024 Reserve League
San Lorenzo 2 vs Instituto 2
2:0
Apr 18, 2024 Reserve League
Instituto 2 vs San Lorenzo 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Lorenzo 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Crisafulli J. C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rival T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Instituto 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bujedo B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marasca I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Lorenzo 2 42 / 100
Instituto 2 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Lorenzo 2 Instituto 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Lorenzo 2's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Instituto 2 let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

San Lorenzo 2 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Lorenzo 2 VS Instituto 2
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

San Lorenzo 2

(Home)
29 Sept
San Lorenzo 2
3 : 2
Aldosivi 2
22 Sept
San Lorenzo 2
0 : 2
Huracan 2
16 Sept
Gimnasia L.P. 2
2 : 0
San Lorenzo 2
09 Sept
San Lorenzo 2
0 : 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
02 Sept
Atl. Tucuman 2
2 : 1
San Lorenzo 2
Page 1 of 6

Instituto 2

(Away)
24 Sept
Instituto 2
0 : 2
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
17 Sept
Barracas Central 2
3 : 1
Instituto 2
09 Sept
Instituto 2
2 : 2
Sarmiento Junin 2
02 Sept
Talleres Cordoba 2
0 : 1
Instituto 2
25 Aug
Instituto 2
2 : 0
Argentinos Jrs 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 18 14 2 2 40:11 44
2 River Plate 2 18 9 4 5 24:17 31
3 Racing Club 2 18 8 6 4 27:23 30
4 Atl. Tucuman 2 18 9 3 6 26:25 30
5 Union de Santa Fe 2 18 7 8 3 23:19 29
6 Argentinos Jrs 2 18 7 7 4 24:18 28
7 Talleres Cordoba 2 18 7 5 6 27:21 26
8 Rosario Central 2 18 7 5 6 25:22 26
9 Instituto 2 18 5 9 4 20:21 24
10 San Lorenzo 2 18 6 6 6 22:24 24
11 Gimnasia L.P. 2 18 6 5 7 19:17 23
12 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 18 6 5 7 16:19 23
13 Banfield 2 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
14 Aldosivi 2 18 5 3 10 17:28 18
15 Barracas Central 2 18 4 5 9 11:24 17
16 Sarmiento Junin 2 18 4 4 10 16:26 16
17 Tigre 2 18 4 4 10 15:25 16
18 Godoy Cruz 2 18 4 3 11 20:30 15
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Juniors 2 18 11 3 4 33:11 36
2 Independiente 2 18 11 3 4 36:16 36
3 Lanus 2 18 11 2 5 39:24 35
4 Newells Old Boys 2 18 10 4 4 26:16 34
5 Quilmes 2 18 10 3 5 20:12 33
6 Defensa y Justicia 2 18 9 5 4 38:24 32
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 18 8 4 6 25:16 28
8 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 18 8 3 7 27:29 27
9 Huracan 2 18 7 5 6 23:17 26
10 Platense 2 18 7 5 6 17:20 26
11 Deportivo Riestra 2 18 7 4 7 25:18 25
12 Ind. Rivadavia 2 18 7 3 8 23:23 24
13 Ferro 2 18 6 4 8 20:23 22
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 18 5 4 9 21:33 19
15 Colon Santa Fe 2 18 5 3 10 15:23 18
16 Atl. Rafaela 2 18 3 3 12 21:36 12
17 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 18 2 5 11 9:32 11
18 San Martin S.J. 2 18 2 2 14 16:59 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)