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San Lorenzo del Beni vs Atletico Bermejo

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2023 game between San Lorenzo del Beni and Atletico Bermejo finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Bermejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
San Lorenzo del Beni
6%
Draws
90%
Atletico Bermejo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atletico Bermejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • San Lorenzo del Beni haven't matched Atletico Bermejo's recent run of results.
  • Atletico Bermejo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
San Lorenzo del Beni Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico Bermejo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Lorenzo del Beni Atletico Bermejo
Matches Played 20 33
Wins 7 15
Draws 3 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
San Lorenzo del Beni vs Atletico Bermejo
0:3
Oct 1, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Atletico Bermejo vs San Lorenzo del Beni
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Lorenzo del Beni 10 / 100
Atletico Bermejo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Lorenzo del Beni Atletico Bermejo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

San Lorenzo del Beni's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Atletico Bermejo has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

San Lorenzo del Beni went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Lorenzo del Beni VS Atletico Bermejo
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Lorenzo del Beni

(Home)
28 Oct
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
12 : 0
San Lorenzo del Beni
22 Oct
San Lorenzo del Beni
0 : 3
Atletico Bermejo
08 Oct
San Lorenzo del Beni
1 : 5
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
01 Oct
Atletico Bermejo
5 : 2
San Lorenzo del Beni
16 Jul
Los Almendros
1 : 2
San Lorenzo del Beni
Page 1 of 4

Atletico Bermejo

(Away)
12 Nov
Real Potosi
3 : 1
Atletico Bermejo
05 Nov
Atletico Bermejo
1 : 0
Real Potosi
22 Oct
San Lorenzo del Beni
0 : 3
Atletico Bermejo
15 Oct
Atletico Bermejo
1 : 0
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
01 Oct
Atletico Bermejo
5 : 2
San Lorenzo del Beni
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi43017:19
2Nacional Sucre42024:76
3Hiska Nacional41033:63
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Mizque42118:67
2Universitario de Pando42115:77
3Stormers SL41036:63
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GV San Jose43017:39
2Real Oruro42114:37
3Municipalidad de Yacuiba40132:71
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Torre Fuerte42115:47
2Pasion Celeste42027:86
3Fancesa41128:84
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio Bulo Bulo430120:29
2Atletico Bermejo43019:59
3San Lorenzo del Beni40043:250
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Municipal de Tarija431010:410
2Fatic42026:36
3Sur-Car40135:141
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
124 de Septiembre42118:57
2Universitario Beni42116:67
3Real Mapajo40223:62
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz43109:210
2Deportivo Aleman41219:85
3Academia del Balompie40134:121
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)