Sport Picks
San Lorenzo vs 2 de Mayo
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Lic. Erico Galeano Segovia, Capiatá 
Match Events
10'
10'
Aguilera A. D.
Assist: Caceres Aguero F. M.
17'
17'
Aragon F.
(Penalty)
39'
39'
Aguilera A. D.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and 2 de Mayo come out ahead of San Lorenzo on wins alone.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on 2 de Mayo taking it.
- 2 de Mayo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor 2 de Mayo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 14%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Lorenzo | 2 de Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.59 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs 2 de Mayo
1:2
May 22, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs San Lorenzo
0:1
Mar 17, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs 2 de Mayo
1:1
Sep 8, 2023 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs 2 de Mayo
0:1
Jun 5, 2023 Division Intermedia
2 de Mayo vs San Lorenzo
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Lorenzo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
2 de Mayo Compare
Top Goalscorer Aguilera A. D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Lorenzo 10 / 100
2 de Mayo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Lorenzo 2 de Mayo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick 2 de Mayo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
2 de Mayo has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
2 de Mayo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
San Lorenzo scored in 48% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
San Lorenzo VS 2 de Mayo
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Lorenzo
(Home) 28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Recoleta
23 Sept
San Lorenzo
2 : 1 4 de Mayo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Recoleta
23 Sept
San Lorenzo
2 : 1 4 de Mayo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
28 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
2 de Mayo
(Away) 26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2 2 de Mayo
22 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 4 Sol de America
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 2 de Mayo
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2 2 de Mayo
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 2 de Mayo
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
29 Aug
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 2 de Mayo
20 Aug
Deportivo Humaita FBC
1 : 4 2 de Mayo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 21:9 | 25 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 23 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:7 | 22 |
| 4 | 2 de Mayo | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:13 | 22 |
| 5 | Guarani | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13:9 | 20 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20:11 | 20 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14:13 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:23 | 9 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13:24 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3:21 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
