Sport Picks
San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Cerro Porteno have shipped 0.94 goals a game lately, while San Lorenzo have conceded 1.5 and scored 0.61. Head-to-head, San Lorenzo have won 0 to Cerro Porteno's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 1.56, favoring Cerro Porteno. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Cerro Porteno have won more games recently than San Lorenzo.
- San Lorenzo are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Cerro Porteno arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Cerro Porteno, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Lorenzo | Cerro Porteno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 34 |
| Wins | 5 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.61 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: San Lorenzo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
San Lorenzo found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Cerro Porteno conceded in 59% of 34 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
San Lorenzo
(Home)Cerro Porteno
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4:22 | 3 |
