Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno

South America South America

Serie Rio de la Plata Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Cuello A.
6'
Perez M.
21'
Sub
Gimenez G. In: Quintana Rodriguez L. A.
Out: Gimenez G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie Rio de la Plata game between San Lorenzo and Cerro Porteno finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
San Lorenzo
30%
Draws
47%
Cerro Porteno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cerro Porteno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • San Lorenzo haven't matched Cerro Porteno's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 25%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Lorenzo Cerro Porteno
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 11
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.59 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Serie Rio de la Plata
San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno
0:0
Jul 31, 2019 Copa Libertadores
Cerro Porteno vs San Lorenzo
2:1
Jul 24, 2019 Copa Libertadores
San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno
0:0
Apr 6, 2000 Copa Libertadores
Cerro Porteno vs San Lorenzo
3:1
Mar 7, 2000 Copa Libertadores
San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Lorenzo 37 / 100
Cerro Porteno 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Lorenzo Cerro Porteno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerro Porteno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: San Lorenzo scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: San Lorenzo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Cerro Porteno conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

San Lorenzo VS Cerro Porteno
0.43 Goals Scored 1.13
0.57 Goals Conceded 0.75
29% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Lorenzo

(Home)
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2
Boca Juniors
13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1
San Lorenzo
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 0
Talleres Cordoba
01 Sept
Instituto
1 : 0
San Lorenzo
21 Aug
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 0
San Lorenzo
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Cerro Porteno

(Away)
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1
Cerro Porteno
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0
Rubio Nu
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1
Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0
Nacional Asuncion
03 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3
Cerro Porteno
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