Sport Picks
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Copa Argentina Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, Moron 
Match Events
26'
26'
Reali M.
Assist: De Ritis M.
29'
29'
Perez B.
32'
32'
Cuello A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Lorenzo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- San Lorenzo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans San Lorenzo's way, sitting at 36%.
- San Lorenzo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Deportivo Riestra, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Riestra Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Lorenzo | Deportivo Riestra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 13 | 14 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.91 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 17, 2026 Copa Argentina
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra
1:2
Mar 25, 2026 Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra vs San Lorenzo
1:1
Oct 31, 2025 Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra vs San Lorenzo
0:0
May 12, 2024 Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra vs San Lorenzo
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Lorenzo Compare
Top Goalscorer Reali M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Deportivo Riestra Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Lorenzo 46 / 100
Deportivo Riestra 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Lorenzo Deportivo Riestra
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Lorenzo scored in 60% of their last 35 games.
Deportivo Riestra has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: San Lorenzo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Lorenzo VS Deportivo Riestra
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
San Lorenzo
(Home) 03 Oct
Defensa y Justicia
3 : 0 San Lorenzo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Boca Juniors
13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Talleres Cordoba
01 Sept
Instituto
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Boca Juniors
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Talleres Cordoba
15 Aug
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Union de Santa Fe
09 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Huracan
28 Jul
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
Page 1 of 4
Deportivo Riestra
(Away) 05 Oct
Deportivo Riestra
1 : 1 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
19 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza
0 : 0 Deportivo Riestra
14 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
0 : 3 Lanus
09 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
1 : 2 Banfield
04 Sept
Platense
1 : 1 Deportivo Riestra
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza
0 : 0 Deportivo Riestra
04 Sept
Platense
1 : 1 Deportivo Riestra
23 Aug
Huracan
0 : 0 Deportivo Riestra
15 Aug
Newells Old Boys
2 : 0 Deportivo Riestra
29 Jul
Defensa y Justicia
2 : 1 Deportivo Riestra
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
San Lorenzo 5
Deportivo Rincon 0
Deportivo Riestra 1
Deportivo Maipu 0
Newells Old Boys 0
Acassuso 2
Gimnasia L.P. 4
Deportivo Camioneros 1
Banfield 3
Real Pilar 0
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0
San Martin T. 1
Godoy Cruz 0
Deportivo Moron 1
Argentinos Jrs 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
San Martin Formosa 0
Defensa y Justicia 2
Chaco For Ever 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
Gimnasia Jujuy 3
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Atl. Rafaela 0
Velez Sarsfield 4
Deportivo Armenio 1
Gimnasia Mendoza 0
Gimnasia y Tiro 1
Sarmiento Junin 1
Tristan Suarez 0
Boca Juniors 2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0
River Plate 1
Ciudad Bolivar 0
Aldosivi 3
San Miguel 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
CA Estudiantes 0
Tigre 2
Claypole 0
Talleres Cordoba 2
Argentino de Merlo 0
Atl. Tucuman 2
Sportivo Barracas 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
Agropecuario 0
Independiente 4
Biblioteca Atenas 2
Platense 1
Argentino MM 0
San Martin S.J. 2
Deportivo Madryn 0
Instituto 2
Atletico Atlanta 0
Lanus 4
Sarmiento de La Banda 1
Estudiantes L.P. 4
Ituzaingo 0
Rosario Central 2
Sportivo Belgrano 0
Barracas Central 3
Temperley 2
Huracan 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1
1/16-finals
San Lorenzo 1
Deportivo Riestra 2
Acassuso 0
Gimnasia L.P. 3
Banfield 2
San Martin T. 1
Deportivo Moron 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 4
Defensa y Justicia 1
Gimnasia Jujuy 2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Velez Sarsfield 2
Gimnasia y Tiro 0
Sarmiento Junin 0
Boca Juniors 2
River Plate 1
Aldosivi 3
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Tigre 0
Talleres Cordoba 0
Atl. Tucuman 3
Union de Santa Fe 0
Independiente 2
Platense 1
San Martin S.J. 0
Instituto 2
Lanus 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Rosario Central 0
Barracas Central 1
Huracan 0
1/8-finals
Deportivo Riestra 2
Gimnasia L.P. 1
Banfield 3
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 0
Velez Sarsfield 0
Boca Juniors 1
Aldosivi 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
Atl. Tucuman 4
Independiente 0
Platense 2
Instituto 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Barracas Central 1
Quarter-finals
Deportivo Riestra 1
Banfield 2
Racing Club 2
Boca Juniors 3
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Atl. Tucuman 2
Platense 1
Estudiantes L.P. 0
Semi-finals
Banfield -
Boca Juniors -
Atl. Tucuman -
Platense -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
