Sport Picks
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Rincon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Copa Argentina 
Match Events
21'
21'
Corujo G.
Assist: Vietto L.
36'
36'
Estigarribia C.
40'
40'
Vietto L.
Assist: De Ritis M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 5-0. This leg finished 5-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportivo Rincon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Deportivo Rincon at 0.89 per game, San Lorenzo at 0.88.
- Model gives Deportivo Rincon a 47% chance of winning this.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor San Lorenzo, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 24%
Deportivo Rincon Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Lorenzo | Deportivo Rincon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 13 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.51 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Copa Argentina
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Rincon
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Lorenzo Compare
Top Goalscorer Corujo G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vietto L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26
Deportivo Rincon Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Lorenzo 17 / 100
Deportivo Rincon 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Lorenzo Deportivo Rincon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportivo Rincon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
San Lorenzo found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (33 games).
Deportivo Rincon has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.
San Lorenzo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Lorenzo VS Deportivo Rincon
0.38 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
San Lorenzo
(Home) 03 Oct
Defensa y Justicia
3 : 0 San Lorenzo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Boca Juniors
13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Talleres Cordoba
01 Sept
Instituto
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Boca Juniors
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Talleres Cordoba
15 Aug
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Union de Santa Fe
09 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Huracan
28 Jul
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
Page 1 of 4
Deportivo Rincon
(Away) 20 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
3 : 0 Santamarina
13 Sept
Fundacion Amigos
1 : 0 Deportivo Rincon
06 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 1 Costa Brava
30 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0 Deportivo Rincon
23 Aug
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 0 Juventud U.U.
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Fundacion Amigos
1 : 0 Deportivo Rincon
30 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0 Deportivo Rincon
16 Aug
San Martin Mendoza
1 : 0 Deportivo Rincon
08 Aug
Sol de Mayo
2 : 4 Deportivo Rincon
25 Jul
Costa Brava
0 : 1 Deportivo Rincon
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
San Lorenzo 5
Deportivo Rincon 0
Deportivo Riestra 1
Deportivo Maipu 0
Newells Old Boys 0
Acassuso 2
Gimnasia L.P. 4
Deportivo Camioneros 1
Banfield 3
Real Pilar 0
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0
San Martin T. 1
Godoy Cruz 0
Deportivo Moron 1
Argentinos Jrs 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
San Martin Formosa 0
Defensa y Justicia 2
Chaco For Ever 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
Gimnasia Jujuy 3
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Atl. Rafaela 0
Velez Sarsfield 4
Deportivo Armenio 1
Gimnasia Mendoza 0
Gimnasia y Tiro 1
Sarmiento Junin 1
Tristan Suarez 0
Boca Juniors 2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0
River Plate 1
Ciudad Bolivar 0
Aldosivi 3
San Miguel 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
CA Estudiantes 0
Tigre 2
Claypole 0
Talleres Cordoba 2
Argentino de Merlo 0
Atl. Tucuman 2
Sportivo Barracas 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
Agropecuario 0
Independiente 4
Biblioteca Atenas 2
Platense 1
Argentino MM 0
San Martin S.J. 2
Deportivo Madryn 0
Instituto 2
Atletico Atlanta 0
Lanus 4
Sarmiento de La Banda 1
Estudiantes L.P. 4
Ituzaingo 0
Rosario Central 2
Sportivo Belgrano 0
Barracas Central 3
Temperley 2
Huracan 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1
1/16-finals
San Lorenzo 1
Deportivo Riestra 2
Acassuso 0
Gimnasia L.P. 3
Banfield 2
San Martin T. 1
Deportivo Moron 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 4
Defensa y Justicia 1
Gimnasia Jujuy 2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Velez Sarsfield 2
Gimnasia y Tiro 0
Sarmiento Junin 0
Boca Juniors 2
River Plate 1
Aldosivi 3
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Tigre 0
Talleres Cordoba 0
Atl. Tucuman 3
Union de Santa Fe 0
Independiente 2
Platense 1
San Martin S.J. 0
Instituto 2
Lanus 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Rosario Central 0
Barracas Central 1
Huracan 0
1/8-finals
Deportivo Riestra 2
Gimnasia L.P. 1
Banfield 3
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 0
Velez Sarsfield 0
Boca Juniors 1
Aldosivi 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
Atl. Tucuman 4
Independiente 0
Platense 2
Instituto 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Barracas Central 1
Quarter-finals
Deportivo Riestra 1
Banfield 2
Racing Club 2
Boca Juniors 3
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Atl. Tucuman 2
Platense 1
Estudiantes L.P. 0
Semi-finals
Banfield -
Boca Juniors -
Atl. Tucuman -
Platense -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
