Sport Picks
San Lorenzo vs Rubio Nu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Gunther Vogel, San Lorenzo 
Match Events
24'
24'
Martinez F.
46'
46'
Sub
Barrios J. In: Paez A.
Out: Barrios J.
56'
56'
Sub
Ferreira R. In: Leguizamon A.
Out: Ferreira R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Lorenzo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Rubio Nu carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on San Lorenzo taking it.
- Rubio Nu arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Rubio Nu, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Rubio Nu have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 14%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Lorenzo | Rubio Nu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.61 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs San Lorenzo
3:1
Apr 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Rubio Nu
0:1
Feb 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs San Lorenzo
2:0
Jul 20, 2025 Division Intermedia
Rubio Nu vs San Lorenzo
2:1
Apr 14, 2025 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs Rubio Nu
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Lorenzo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Rubio Nu Compare
Top Goalscorer Cardozo Lucena A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Lorenzo 41 / 100
Rubio Nu 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Lorenzo Rubio Nu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rubio Nu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
San Lorenzo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: Rubio Nu has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
San Lorenzo VS Rubio Nu
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
San Lorenzo
(Home) 03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Recoleta
23 Sept
San Lorenzo
2 : 1 4 de Mayo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Recoleta
23 Sept
San Lorenzo
2 : 1 4 de Mayo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
28 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
Rubio Nu
(Away) 06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Rubio Nu
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2 2 de Mayo
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Rubio Nu
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
06 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
4 : 2 Rubio Nu
28 Aug
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
