Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Lorenzo vs Sp. Luqueno

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Lic. Erico Galeano Segovia
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Caceres L.
46'
Sub
Riveros P. In: Martinez Cubilla A. M.
Out: Riveros P.
46'
Sub
Pinatares B. In: Gonzalez H.
Out: Pinatares B.

AI Match Summary

The Copa de Primera game between San Lorenzo and Sp. Luqueno finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
San Lorenzo
44%
Draws
20%
Sp. Luqueno
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Sp. Luqueno's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what San Lorenzo have produced (0.75).
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 13%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Lorenzo Sp. Luqueno
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Sp. Luqueno
0:0
Mar 13, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs San Lorenzo
1:1
Oct 2, 2022 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs Sp. Luqueno
2:0
Jun 24, 2022 Division Intermedia
Sp. Luqueno vs San Lorenzo
1:2
Nov 12, 2020 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Sp. Luqueno
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Lorenzo 35 / 100
Sp. Luqueno 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Lorenzo Sp. Luqueno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sp. Luqueno has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

San Lorenzo's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: San Lorenzo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Lorenzo VS Sp. Luqueno
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115