Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Lorenzo vs Union de Santa Fe

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires
San Lorenzo Logo

San Lorenzo

1 - 0
FT
Union de Santa Fe Logo

Union de Santa Fe

Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Sub
Malcorra I. In: Luna Diale M.
Out: Malcorra I.
20'
Menossi L.
27'
Sub
Mosqueira J. In: Giaccone E.
Out: Mosqueira J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Lorenzo in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Lorenzo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
San Lorenzo
20%
Draws
51%
Union de Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union de Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Union de Santa Fe have won more games recently than San Lorenzo.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 17%
Union de Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Lorenzo Union de Santa Fe
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 13 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.91 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Union de Santa Fe
1:0
Feb 14, 2026 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs San Lorenzo
0:0
Jun 15, 2024 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs San Lorenzo
2:1
Feb 5, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Union de Santa Fe
0:0
Sep 4, 2023 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs San Lorenzo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Lorenzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Auzmendi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Union de Santa Fe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Lorenzo 31 / 100
Union de Santa Fe 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Lorenzo Union de Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union de Santa Fe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union de Santa Fe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

San Lorenzo scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Solid form: San Lorenzo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

San Lorenzo VS Union de Santa Fe
0.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

San Lorenzo

(Home)
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2
Boca Juniors
13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1
San Lorenzo
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 0
Talleres Cordoba
01 Sept
Instituto
1 : 0
San Lorenzo
21 Aug
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 0
San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 7

Union de Santa Fe

(Away)
19 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2
Independiente
12 Sept
Talleres Cordoba
2 : 1
Union de Santa Fe
08 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
3 : 2
Instituto
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
21 Aug
Aldosivi
1 : 3
Union de Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 10 7 1 2 13:7 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 10 5 5 0 15:9 20
3 Defensa y Justicia 10 5 3 2 13:11 18
4 Gimnasia Mendoza 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
5 Boca Juniors 10 4 5 1 14:11 17
6 Independiente 10 5 2 3 10:8 17
7 Lanus 10 5 1 4 13:9 16
8 Newells Old Boys 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
9 Union de Santa Fe 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
10 San Lorenzo 10 3 2 5 4:8 11
11 Estudiantes L.P. 10 3 1 6 10:11 10
12 Deportivo Riestra 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
13 Platense 10 2 3 5 9:15 9
14 Talleres Cordoba 10 2 2 6 11:17 8
15 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 10 2 2 6 7:13 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 10 5 3 2 13:9 18
2 Rosario Central 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Ind. Rivadavia 10 5 2 3 14:13 17
4 Gimnasia L.P. 10 5 2 3 15:15 17
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 10 4 4 2 11:7 16
6 Huracan 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Sarmiento Junin 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
8 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
9 Atl. Tucuman 10 3 4 3 7:6 13
10 Tigre 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
11 Barracas Central 10 3 3 4 5:7 12
12 Banfield 10 2 3 5 11:16 9
13 Aldosivi 10 2 2 6 12:16 8
14 Racing Club 10 2 2 6 11:16 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 10 1 3 6 5:13 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)