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San Lorenzo W vs Social Atletico Television W

Argentina Argentina

Primera A Women Ciudad Deportiva de San Lorenzo de Almagro (Bajo Flores)
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Lorenzo W play Social Atletico Television W in the Primera A Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Lorenzo W averaged 1.52 goals scored and 0.59 conceded. Social Atletico Television W averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, San Lorenzo W won 5, Social Atletico Television W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 24, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for San Lorenzo W and 0.81 for Social Atletico Television W. This points to a San Lorenzo W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
San Lorenzo W
18%
Draws
29%
Social Atletico Television W
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: San Lorenzo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • San Lorenzo W picked up more points recently compared to Social Atletico Television W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
San Lorenzo W Clean Sheet 26%
Social Atletico Television W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 54%
Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Lorenzo W Social Atletico Television W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Primera A Women
San Lorenzo W vs Social Atletico Television W
3:1
May 8, 2025 Primera A Women
Social Atletico Television W vs San Lorenzo W
1:2
Oct 13, 2024 Primera A Women
San Lorenzo W vs Social Atletico Television W
2:1
May 25, 2024 Primera A Women
Social Atletico Television W vs San Lorenzo W
0:1
Nov 26, 2023 Primera A Women
San Lorenzo W vs Social Atletico Television W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Lorenzo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Puentes K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pafundi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Social Atletico Television W Compare

Top Goalscorer Leguizamon Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Lorenzo W 53 / 100
Social Atletico Television W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Lorenzo W Social Atletico Television W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Lorenzo W Win (1)
Secondary Pick San Lorenzo W & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Lorenzo W attacking → ← attacking Social Atletico Television W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Lorenzo W scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Social Atletico Television W let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

San Lorenzo W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Social Atletico Television W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 38
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88