Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Luca vs Locri 1909

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Larosa M.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Facundo M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Locri 1909 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
San Luca
20%
Draws
32%
Locri 1909
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Luca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Locri 1909 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Locri 1909 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Locri 1909, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
San Luca Clean Sheet 19%
Locri 1909 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Luca Locri 1909
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 5 6
Draws 10 8
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.14 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs Locri 1909
0:2
Jan 10, 2024 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs Locri 1909
1:1
Sep 10, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs San Luca
1:0
Jan 29, 2023 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs Locri 1909
2:4
Oct 5, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs San Luca
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Luca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Locri 1909 Compare

Top Goalscorer Facundo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Luca 32 / 100
Locri 1909 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Luca Locri 1909

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Locri 1909 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Locri 1909's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

San Luca found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Locri 1909 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Locri 1909
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

San Luca

(Home)
12 May
San Luca
0 : 2
Locri 1909
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
28 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
21 Apr
Akragas
1 : 2
San Luca
14 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Vibonese
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Locri 1909

(Away)
04 May
Locri 1909
1 : 1
AS Acireale
27 Apr
Enna
1 : 1
Locri 1909
17 Apr
Locri 1909
2 : 3
Reggina
13 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Locri 1909
06 Apr
Locri 1909
1 : 2
S. Agata
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
San Luca 0
Locri 1909 2