Sport Picks
San Luca vs Nuova Gioiese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 
Match Events
43'
43'
De Marco G.
(Penalty)
51'
51'
Kalombola E.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between San Luca and Nuova Gioiese finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nuova Gioiese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and San Luca come out ahead of Nuova Gioiese on wins alone.
- Model gives San Luca a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
San Luca Clean Sheet 20%
Nuova Gioiese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Luca | Nuova Gioiese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 10 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 0.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 2.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 10, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Nuova Gioiese vs San Luca
2:1
Nov 2, 2023 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs Nuova Gioiese
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Luca Compare
Top Goalscorer Kalombola E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Nuova Gioiese Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Luca 36 / 100
Nuova Gioiese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Luca Nuova Gioiese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nuova Gioiese let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.
San Luca found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Difficult form: Nuova Gioiese registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Luca VS Nuova Gioiese
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
San Luca
(Home) 12 May
San Luca
0 : 2 Locri 1909
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2 San Luca
28 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1 Real Casalnuovo
21 Apr
Akragas
1 : 2 San Luca
14 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1 Vibonese
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12 May
San Luca
0 : 2 Locri 1909
28 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1 Real Casalnuovo
14 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1 Vibonese
28 Mar
San Luca
0 : 0 Trapani
17 Mar
San Luca
1 : 0 S. Agata
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Nuova Gioiese
(Away) 05 May
Castrovillari
0 : 2 Nuova Gioiese
28 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
1 : 2 Trapani
21 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1 Nuova Gioiese
14 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
2 : 2 S. Agata
28 Mar
Licata
4 : 0 Nuova Gioiese
Page 1 of 6
05 May
Castrovillari
0 : 2 Nuova Gioiese
21 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1 Nuova Gioiese
28 Mar
Licata
4 : 0 Nuova Gioiese
17 Mar
Siracusa
2 : 0 Nuova Gioiese
18 Feb
Reggina
2 : 1 Nuova Gioiese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trapani | 34 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 95:15 | 94 |
| 2 | Siracusa | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 79:26 | 81 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 67:29 | 72 |
| 4 | Reggina | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 54:25 | 65 |
| 5 | AS Acireale | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 39:41 | 54 |
| 6 | S. Agata | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 46:35 | 52 |
| 7 | Real Casalnuovo | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:49 | 51 |
| 8 | USD Ragusa | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:38 | 50 |
| 9 | Canicatti | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 55:51 | 48 |
| 10 | Igea Virtus | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 38:40 | 45 |
| 11 | Licata | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43:54 | 43 |
| 12 | Akragas | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 42:53 | 42 |
| 13 | Sancataldese | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:43 | 37 |
| 14 | Portici 1906 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32:55 | 32 |
| 15 | San Luca | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 37:55 | 29 |
| 16 | Locri 1909 | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 34:68 | 28 |
| 17 | Castrovillari | 34 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 29:76 | 17 |
| 18 | Nuova Gioiese | 34 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 18:80 | 11 |
| 19 | Lamezia Terme | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)
