Sport Picks

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San Luigi vs Adriese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Bose M.

AI Match Summary

San Luigi in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Luigi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
San Luigi
15%
Draws
0%
Adriese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Luigi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Luigi lately — more wins on the board than Adriese.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on San Luigi taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Adriese have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
San Luigi Clean Sheet 68%
Adriese Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Luigi Adriese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 7 4
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 0.93 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group C
San Luigi vs Adriese
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs San Luigi
2:1
Feb 16, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs San Luigi
4:1
Oct 13, 2019 Serie D - Group C
San Luigi vs Adriese
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Luigi Compare

Top Goalscorer Bose M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Adriese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Luigi 95 / 100
Adriese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Luigi Adriese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Luigi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adriese has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Adriese's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

San Luigi's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

San Luigi VS Adriese
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Luigi

(Home)
10 May
San Luigi
1 : 3
FC Obermais
03 May
San Luigi
1 : 1
FC Obermais
26 Apr
Cjarlins Muzane
4 : 2
San Luigi
19 Apr
San Luigi
0 : 2
Treviso
12 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0
San Luigi
Page 1 of 6

Adriese

(Away)
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
26 Apr
Clodiense
2 : 1
Adriese
19 Apr
Adriese
0 : 1
Campodarsego
11 Apr
Calvi Noale
2 : 0
Adriese
02 Apr
Adriese
0 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)