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San Luigi vs Este

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Peron F.

AI Match Summary

Este in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Este.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
San Luigi
30%
Draws
62%
Este
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Este

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Este lately — more wins on the board than San Luigi.
  • Este are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Este here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
San Luigi Clean Sheet 11%
Este Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Luigi Este
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group C
San Luigi vs Este
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Este vs San Luigi
1:0
Apr 5, 2020 Serie D - Group C
San Luigi vs Este
0:0
Nov 24, 2019 Serie D - Group C
Este vs San Luigi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Luigi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Este Compare

Top Goalscorer Peron F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Luigi 10 / 100
Este 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Luigi Este

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Este Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: San Luigi scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Este's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.75 goals when they meet.

San Luigi has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Luigi VS Este
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Luigi

(Home)
10 May
San Luigi
1 : 3
FC Obermais
03 May
San Luigi
1 : 1
FC Obermais
26 Apr
Cjarlins Muzane
4 : 2
San Luigi
19 Apr
San Luigi
0 : 2
Treviso
12 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0
San Luigi
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Este

(Away)
17 May
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
03 May
Este
2 : 0
Luparense FC
26 Apr
Treviso
1 : 2
Este
17 Apr
Este
1 : 1
Clodiense
12 Apr
Legnago Salus
1 : 1
Este
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)