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San Luigi vs Mestre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Marcandella D.
(Penalty)
39' Event
Corti A.
41' Event
Forte L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 game between San Luigi and Mestre finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mestre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
San Luigi
35%
Draws
56%
Mestre
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mestre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • San Luigi haven't matched Mestre's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mestre's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
San Luigi Clean Sheet 16%
Mestre Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Luigi Mestre
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group C
San Luigi vs Mestre
1:3
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs San Luigi
2:2
Mar 29, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs San Luigi
0:0
Nov 17, 2019 Serie D - Group C
San Luigi vs Mestre
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Luigi Compare

Top Goalscorer Forte L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Mestre Compare

Top Goalscorer Corti A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rabbas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Luigi 23 / 100
Mestre 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Luigi Mestre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mestre Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Luigi found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Mestre conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: San Luigi remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Luigi VS Mestre
0.83 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
83% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Luigi

(Home)
10 May
San Luigi
1 : 3
FC Obermais
03 May
San Luigi
1 : 1
FC Obermais
26 Apr
Cjarlins Muzane
4 : 2
San Luigi
19 Apr
San Luigi
0 : 2
Treviso
12 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0
San Luigi
Page 1 of 6

Mestre

(Away)
07 Oct
Mestre
0 : 2
Schio
04 Oct
Mestre
1 : 1
Campodarsego
27 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 2
Mestre
20 Sept
Mestre
3 : 2
Altavilla
16 Sept
Bassano Virtus
0 : 0
Mestre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)