Sport Picks
San Marcial vs Alfaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017 
AI Match Summary
Alfaro in this Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alfaro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alfaro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Alfaro lately — more wins on the board than San Marcial.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
San Marcial Clean Sheet 20%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Marcial | Alfaro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Alfaro
0:2
Sep 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs San Marcial
2:2
Apr 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs San Marcial
1:0
Nov 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Alfaro
3:1
Feb 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs San Marcial
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Marcial 32 / 100
Alfaro 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Marcial Alfaro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: San Marcial scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Alfaro let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
San Marcial went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Marcial VS Alfaro
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Marcial
(Home) 04 Oct
San Marcial
1 : 1 River Ebro
27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1 San Marcial
18 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 1 Comillas CF
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0 San Marcial
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0 Vianes
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04 Oct
San Marcial
1 : 1 River Ebro
18 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 1 Comillas CF
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0 Vianes
10 May
San Marcial
0 : 2 Anguiano
26 Apr
San Marcial
4 : 3 Agoncillo
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Alfaro
(Away) 04 Oct
Alfaro
2 : 1 CD Calahorra
27 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 2 Alfaro
20 Sept
Alfaro
1 : 2 Haro Deportivo
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1 Yague
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2 Alfaro
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27 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 2 Alfaro
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2 Alfaro
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0 Alfaro
12 Apr
Tudelano
3 : 1 Alfaro
29 Mar
Basconia
6 : 4 Alfaro
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Calahorra | 38 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 116:20 | 95 |
| 2 | Naxara | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 117:30 | 91 |
| 3 | SD Logrones | 38 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 110:25 | 91 |
| 4 | Anguiano | 38 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 115:40 | 91 |
| 5 | Haro Deportivo | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 115:33 | 91 |
| 6 | Varea | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 91:28 | 85 |
| 7 | Alfaro | 38 | 24 | 3 | 11 | 78:56 | 75 |
| 8 | UD Logrones B | 38 | 20 | 5 | 13 | 64:45 | 65 |
| 9 | Agoncillo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:60 | 45 |
| 10 | Oyonesa | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 45:74 | 39 |
| 11 | Vianes | 37 | 12 | 2 | 23 | 45:112 | 38 |
| 12 | CD Tedeon | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 43:68 | 37 |
| 13 | Arnedo | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 39:67 | 35 |
| 14 | River Ebro | 37 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 48:80 | 35 |
| 15 | Casalarreina CF | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 42:78 | 33 |
| 16 | Villegas | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 37:85 | 33 |
| 17 | Calasancio | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 24:77 | 31 |
| 18 | CDFC La Calzada | 38 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 35:84 | 29 |
| 19 | San Marcial | 37 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 44:106 | 22 |
| 20 | CF Rapid | 38 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 24:114 | 13 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)
