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San Marcial vs Anguiano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017 game between San Marcial and Anguiano finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Anguiano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
San Marcial
35%
Draws
30%
Anguiano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • San Marcial haven't matched Anguiano's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Anguiano here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
San Marcial Clean Sheet 16%
Anguiano Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marcial Anguiano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Anguiano
0:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs San Marcial
0:1
Jan 21, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Anguiano
1:5
Sep 4, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs San Marcial
7:0
May 1, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs San Marcial
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marcial 30 / 100
Anguiano 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marcial Anguiano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Marcial Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

San Marcial found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Anguiano conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: San Marcial stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Marcial VS Anguiano
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marcial

(Home)
04 Oct
San Marcial
1 : 1
River Ebro
27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1
San Marcial
18 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 1
Comillas CF
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0
San Marcial
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0
Vianes
Page 1 of 6

Anguiano

(Away)
04 Oct
Haro Deportivo
2 : 1
Anguiano
27 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 2
Alfaro
18 Sept
Calasancio
0 : 0
Anguiano
13 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 1
Agoncillo
06 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 2
Anguiano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Calahorra 38 30 5 3 116:20 95
2 Naxara 38 28 7 3 117:30 91
3 SD Logrones 38 29 4 5 110:25 91
4 Anguiano 38 29 4 5 115:40 91
5 Haro Deportivo 38 28 7 3 115:33 91
6 Varea 37 27 4 6 91:28 85
7 Alfaro 38 24 3 11 78:56 75
8 UD Logrones B 38 20 5 13 64:45 65
9 Agoncillo 38 13 6 19 50:60 45
10 Oyonesa 38 11 6 21 45:74 39
11 Vianes 37 12 2 23 45:112 38
12 CD Tedeon 38 9 10 19 43:68 37
13 Arnedo 38 8 11 19 39:67 35
14 River Ebro 37 9 8 20 48:80 35
15 Casalarreina CF 38 9 6 23 42:78 33
16 Villegas 38 9 6 23 37:85 33
17 Calasancio 38 8 7 23 24:77 31
18 CDFC La Calzada 38 8 5 25 35:84 29
19 San Marcial 37 5 7 25 44:106 22
20 CF Rapid 38 2 7 29 24:114 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)