Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017 game between San Marcial and Varea finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varea.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Varea come out ahead of San Marcial on wins alone.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on San Marcial taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Varea here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Marcial | Varea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: San Marcial scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
San Marcial has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Varea has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
San Marcial
(Home)Varea
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Calahorra | 38 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 116:20 | 95 |
| 2 | Naxara | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 117:30 | 91 |
| 3 | SD Logrones | 38 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 110:25 | 91 |
| 4 | Anguiano | 38 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 115:40 | 91 |
| 5 | Haro Deportivo | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 115:33 | 91 |
| 6 | Varea | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 91:28 | 85 |
| 7 | Alfaro | 38 | 24 | 3 | 11 | 78:56 | 75 |
| 8 | UD Logrones B | 38 | 20 | 5 | 13 | 64:45 | 65 |
| 9 | Agoncillo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:60 | 45 |
| 10 | Oyonesa | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 45:74 | 39 |
| 11 | Vianes | 37 | 12 | 2 | 23 | 45:112 | 38 |
| 12 | CD Tedeon | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 43:68 | 37 |
| 13 | Arnedo | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 39:67 | 35 |
| 14 | River Ebro | 37 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 48:80 | 35 |
| 15 | Casalarreina CF | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 42:78 | 33 |
| 16 | Villegas | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 37:85 | 33 |
| 17 | Calasancio | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 24:77 | 31 |
| 18 | CDFC La Calzada | 38 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 35:84 | 29 |
| 19 | San Marcial | 37 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 44:106 | 22 |
| 20 | CF Rapid | 38 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 24:114 | 13 |
