Sport Picks
San Marcial vs Villegas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017 
AI Match Summary
San Marcial in this Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Marcial.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
35%
16%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Marcial
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to San Marcial lately — more wins on the board than Villegas.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on San Marcial taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
San Marcial Clean Sheet 16%
Villegas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Marcial | Villegas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs San Marcial
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Villegas
2:3
May 14, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs San Marcial
2:2
Dec 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Villegas
2:1
Mar 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Villegas
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Marcial 57 / 100
Villegas 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Marcial Villegas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Marcial Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Villegas let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
San Marcial's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Solid form: San Marcial remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
San Marcial VS Villegas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
San Marcial
(Home) 04 Oct
San Marcial
1 : 1 River Ebro
27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1 San Marcial
18 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 1 Comillas CF
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0 San Marcial
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0 Vianes
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04 Oct
San Marcial
1 : 1 River Ebro
18 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 1 Comillas CF
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0 Vianes
10 May
San Marcial
0 : 2 Anguiano
26 Apr
San Marcial
4 : 3 Agoncillo
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Villegas
(Away) 10 May
Comillas CF
1 : 0 Villegas
03 May
Villegas
1 : 1 Vianes
26 Apr
Arnedo
2 : 1 Villegas
18 Apr
Villegas
2 : 2 San Marcial
12 Apr
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2 Villegas
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Comillas CF
1 : 0 Villegas
26 Apr
Arnedo
2 : 1 Villegas
12 Apr
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2 Villegas
29 Mar
Pena Balsamaiso
1 : 1 Villegas
15 Mar
Berceo
1 : 0 Villegas
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Calahorra | 38 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 116:20 | 95 |
| 2 | Naxara | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 117:30 | 91 |
| 3 | SD Logrones | 38 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 110:25 | 91 |
| 4 | Anguiano | 38 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 115:40 | 91 |
| 5 | Haro Deportivo | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 115:33 | 91 |
| 6 | Varea | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 91:28 | 85 |
| 7 | Alfaro | 38 | 24 | 3 | 11 | 78:56 | 75 |
| 8 | UD Logrones B | 38 | 20 | 5 | 13 | 64:45 | 65 |
| 9 | Agoncillo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:60 | 45 |
| 10 | Oyonesa | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 45:74 | 39 |
| 11 | Vianes | 37 | 12 | 2 | 23 | 45:112 | 38 |
| 12 | CD Tedeon | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 43:68 | 37 |
| 13 | Arnedo | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 39:67 | 35 |
| 14 | River Ebro | 37 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 48:80 | 35 |
| 15 | Casalarreina CF | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 42:78 | 33 |
| 16 | Villegas | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 37:85 | 33 |
| 17 | Calasancio | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 24:77 | 31 |
| 18 | CDFC La Calzada | 38 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 35:84 | 29 |
| 19 | San Marcial | 37 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 44:106 | 22 |
| 20 | CF Rapid | 38 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 24:114 | 13 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)
