Sport Picks
San Marcos de Arica vs Copiapo
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Carlos Dittborn, Arica 
Match Events
5'
5'
Fernandez E.
34'
34'
Tapia B.
36'
36'
Kimura N.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Ascenso game between San Marcos de Arica and Copiapo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Marcos de Arica.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Marcos de Arica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Marcos de Arica have managed 1.14 goals a game lately — Copiapo are scoring more at 1.31.
- Model gives San Marcos de Arica a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
San Marcos de Arica Clean Sheet 68%
Copiapo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Marcos de Arica | Copiapo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs Copiapo
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs San Marcos de Arica
0:3
Oct 11, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs San Marcos de Arica
3:1
May 31, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs Copiapo
0:1
Oct 12, 2021 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs San Marcos de Arica
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Marcos de Arica Compare
Top Goalscorer Donadell N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Reyes G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Copiapo Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Marcos de Arica 50 / 100
Copiapo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Marcos de Arica Copiapo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Marcos de Arica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Copiapo conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Attacking prowess: San Marcos de Arica scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Difficult form: Copiapo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Marcos de Arica VS Copiapo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
San Marcos de Arica
(Home) 13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0 Curico Unido
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1 Copiapo
01 Sept
Cobreloa
2 : 0 San Marcos de Arica
22 Aug
San Marcos de Arica
1 : 2 Rangers
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0 Curico Unido
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1 Copiapo
22 Aug
San Marcos de Arica
1 : 2 Rangers
13 Aug
San Marcos de Arica
0 : 1 San Felipe
01 Aug
San Marcos de Arica
1 : 1 Deportes Iquique
Page 1 of 3
Copiapo
(Away) 26 Sept
San Felipe
1 : 4 Copiapo
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1 Magallanes
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1 Copiapo
30 Aug
Copiapo
0 : 4 Antofagasta
22 Aug
Recoleta
2 : 1 Copiapo
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
San Felipe
1 : 4 Copiapo
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1 Copiapo
22 Aug
Recoleta
2 : 1 Copiapo
14 Aug
Deportes Iquique
4 : 0 Copiapo
04 Aug
Deportes Temuco
1 : 4 Copiapo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 43:27 | 45 |
| 2 | S. Wanderers | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40:26 | 44 |
| 3 | San Luis | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 38:29 | 41 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41:38 | 40 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 42:26 | 38 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 36:33 | 38 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31:23 | 36 |
| 8 | U. Espanola | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32:32 | 36 |
| 9 | Copiapo | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:39 | 34 |
| 10 | D. Puerto Montt | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26:31 | 34 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40:35 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 33:30 | 28 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22:38 | 24 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 26:38 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 16:41 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23:40 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
