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San Marcos vs ADA Jaen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2025 Estadio Olimpico de San Marcos, Lima
San Marcos Logo

San Marcos

1 - 1
FT
ADA Jaen Logo

ADA Jaen

Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Carrillo A.
30'
Acevedo G.
34'
Moyano D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2025 game between San Marcos and ADA Jaen finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
San Marcos
15%
Draws
85%
ADA Jaen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ADA Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ADA Jaen come out ahead of San Marcos on wins alone.
  • ADA Jaen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 10%
ADA Jaen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marcos ADA Jaen
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 11
Draws 4 12
Losses 23 8
Goals Scored 0.33 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.43 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs San Marcos
3:0
May 17, 2026 Liga 2
San Marcos vs ADA Jaen
0:3
Aug 24, 2025 Liga 2
San Marcos vs ADA Jaen
1:1
Jul 20, 2025 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs San Marcos
0:0
Jun 13, 2025 Liga 2
San Marcos vs ADA Jaen
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marcos Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

ADA Jaen Compare

Top Goalscorer Rossi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marcos 10 / 100
ADA Jaen 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marcos ADA Jaen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADA Jaen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

San Marcos found the back of the net in 27% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: ADA Jaen conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

San Marcos VS ADA Jaen
0 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marcos

(Home)
29 Aug
ADA Jaen
3 : 0
San Marcos
23 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
U. San Martin
16 Aug
Llacuabamba
3 : 0
San Marcos
09 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
Carlos Mannucci
02 Aug
Pirata
3 : 0
San Marcos
Page 1 of 6

ADA Jaen

(Away)
07 Oct
Sport Huancayo 2
0 : 1
ADA Jaen
25 Sept
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0
Union Comercio
05 Sept
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1
ADA Jaen
29 Aug
ADA Jaen
3 : 0
San Marcos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cajamarca 8 3 3 2 10:8 14
2 Moquegua 8 3 3 2 14:11 13
3 Cesar Vallejo 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
4 Tacna Heroica 8 2 4 2 11:12 10
5 Carlos Mannucci 8 2 2 4 15:19 8
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 8 7 0 1 18:4 21
2 Comerciantes FC 8 2 3 3 12:7 11
3 ADA Jaen 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
4 Santos FC 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
5 San Marcos 8 1 2 5 4:22 6
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)