Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Marcos vs Carlos Stein - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Ibanez P. In: Quijano P.
Out: Ibanez P.
46'
Sub
Tuesta J. In: Castro F.
Out: Tuesta J.
46'
Sub
Munoz J. In: Velarde M.
Out: Munoz J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2024 game between San Marcos and Carlos Stein finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Marcos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
San Marcos
15%
Draws
85%
Carlos Stein
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carlos Stein

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Carlos Stein haven't matched San Marcos's recent run of results.
  • San Marcos are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 10%
Carlos Stein Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marcos Carlos Stein
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 9 5
Draws 4 3
Losses 23 23
Goals Scored 0.75 1.16
Goals Conceded 2.08 3.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2024 Liga 2
Carlos Stein vs San Marcos
1:2
Apr 29, 2024 Liga 2
San Marcos vs Carlos Stein
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marcos Compare

Top Goalscorer Velarde M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vasquez Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Carlos Stein Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marcos 40 / 100
Carlos Stein 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marcos Carlos Stein

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carlos Stein let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Carlos Stein's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: San Marcos scored in 39% of their last 36 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Marcos VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
3.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marcos

(Home)
29 Aug
ADA Jaen
3 : 0
San Marcos
23 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
U. San Martin
16 Aug
Llacuabamba
3 : 0
San Marcos
09 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
Carlos Mannucci
02 Aug
Pirata
3 : 0
San Marcos
Page 1 of 8

Carlos Stein

(Away)
07 Sept
Binacional
6 : 1
Carlos Stein
02 Sept
Moquegua
6 : 1
Carlos Stein
26 Aug
Carlos Stein
1 : 2
U. San Martin
22 Aug
Carlos Stein
0 : 4
Moquegua
17 Aug
U. San Martin
1 : 0
Carlos Stein
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza Huanuco 12 9 2 1 30:7 29
2 San Marcos 12 7 2 3 25:14 23
3 Llacuabamba 12 6 3 3 30:10 21
4 Pirata 12 5 1 6 14:19 16
5 Juan Pablo II 12 4 3 5 13:15 15
6 ADA Jaen 12 4 3 5 16:24 15
7 Carlos Stein 12 0 0 12 10:49 0
8 Juan Aurich 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Union Huaral 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga 2 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 9 6 1 26:13 33
2 Santos FC 16 7 4 5 15:12 25
3 Ayacucho 16 7 3 6 15:14 24
4 Dep. Municipal 16 4 8 4 16:15 20
5 AD Cantolao 16 6 2 8 16:20 20
6 Deportivo Coopsol 16 5 4 7 21:27 19
7 U. San Martin 16 3 9 4 19:22 18
8 Moquegua 16 2 5 9 12:22 11
9 Binacional 16 7 1 8 20:15 10
Promotion - Liga 2 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)