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San Marcos vs Comerciantes FC

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2025 Estadio Olimpico de San Marcos, Lima
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Paz L.
27'
Sub
Hurtado C. In: Aburto B.
Out: Hurtado C.
38'
Moyano D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2025 game between San Marcos and Comerciantes FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Marcos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
San Marcos
6%
Draws
90%
Comerciantes FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Comerciantes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • San Marcos haven't matched Comerciantes FC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Comerciantes FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 10%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marcos Comerciantes FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 14
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.2 1.38
Goals Conceded 3.4 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.20 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.40 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2025 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs San Marcos
6:0
Aug 1, 2025 Liga 2
San Marcos vs Comerciantes FC
1:0
Sep 18, 2024 Liga 2
San Marcos vs Comerciantes FC
1:1
Aug 23, 2024 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs San Marcos
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marcos Compare

Top Goalscorer Paz L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.15
Avg xA / game 0.1

Comerciantes FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marcos 10 / 100
Comerciantes FC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marcos Comerciantes FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Comerciantes FC let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: San Marcos scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Comerciantes FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Marcos VS Comerciantes FC
0.2 Goals Scored 1.38
3.4 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marcos

(Home)
02 May
San Marcos
0 : 3
Llacuabamba
25 Apr
Carlos Mannucci
3 : 0
San Marcos
19 Apr
San Marcos
0 : 3
Pirata
03 Apr
AD Cantolao
5 : 1
San Marcos
27 Mar
San Marcos
0 : 3
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 6

Comerciantes FC

(Away)
18 Jul
Sport Huancayo 2
1 : 1
Comerciantes FC
11 Jul
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Comerciantes FC
27 Jun
Comerciantes FC
0 : 0
Estudiantil CNI
20 Jun
Union Comercio
0 : 1
Comerciantes FC
13 Jun
Comerciantes FC
1 : 1
Sporting Cristal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cajamarca833210:814
2Moquegua833214:1113
3Cesar Vallejo832310:1011
4Tacna Heroica824211:1210
5Carlos Mannucci822415:198
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Comercio870118:421
2Comerciantes FC823312:711
3ADA Jaen82429:910
4Santos FC831410:1110
5San Marcos81254:226
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)